It is that time of the year again, and training camps are picking up. Before we know it preseason games will begin, and Week 1 will be here. Today I will be breaking down a mock draft where I was picking out of the 5th spot in a snake draft of a 12-team PPR league. This was a randomized pick, and in a world where we see so many different strategies for drafting, every draft is going to throw something at you. Breaking down my picks, who else was considered, and what my plan was before the pick can give a look in at the thought process to carry into your own drafts. Let’s dive in.
1.5, David Johnson, ARI, RB
Others Considered: DeAndre Hopkins, Davante Adams
There was no doubt that the first four picks were going to be the premier running backs. I am pretty high on David Johnson this season, and while I had the opportunity to draft one of the likely two names finishing as WR1 this season, Johnson gives me a strong RB1 where I can land my WR1 in the next round. Johnson’s receiving threat is a boost for PPR potential, and I love the changes Arizona has made and how it ties to Johnson’s 2019 upside.
2.8, Mike Evans, TB, WR
Others Considered: Keenan Allen, Dalvin Cook
Antonio Brown and JuJu-Smith Schuster went the two picks before me, eliminating two of the top wideouts to go in the second round. This left me with a choice of Mike Evans or Keenan Allen. Both are steady options for targets, and while Allen has a higher reception ceiling, Evans yardage and touchdown potential is still something I rather chase. Bruce Arians should be able to get this offense going, and the shootout style games are going to be there again for the Bucs. Yes Evans has had some poor touchdown totals in his career, but is still a safe option in 2019.
3.5, Amari Cooper, DAL, WR
Others Considered: Damien Williams, A.J. Green
Damien Williams has frequently been going in this spot, and has a wide range of outcomes this season. He is one of the more thought about fantasy options this season, mainly because the sample size leading up to him being a potential starting back isn’t eye opening. I decided to pass on an injury plagued A.J. Green, and went with Amari Cooper. No shame in buying into Cooper with the increases in yards per reception, and increase in targets. He is the WR1 in Dallas and the WR2 on my fantasy team. Love the potential he adds to my receiving core early. There are a few running backs that I want to lock up my RB2 spot if they can hold in the next round.
4.8, Derrick Henry, TEN, RB
Others Considered: Nobody Else
After seeing a line of running backs go off the table waiting for this pick, I was quite surprised Derrick Henry was the one left. This is a major steal for me, and Henry’s ADP isn’t going to be any lower. Tennessee plans on using Henry as a workhorse again, and the Titans remain one of the heavier run based teams in the league. There isn’t much PPR potential here which is the downside, but a 250+ carry back with double digit touchdown upside is a fine play for an RB2 with already solidified wideouts. I am very happy with this pick.
5.5, David Montgomery, CHI, RB
Others Considered: Aaron Rodgers, James White, O.J. Howard
This is a spot where I could have went a few different ways. Taking Aaron Rodgers was enticing, but there were plenty of quarterbacks still on the market. James White has plenty of PPR potential, and O.J. Howard’s breakout seems to be here. However, rookie David Montgomery is where I landed. A good running team with a back that can contribute in different ways is a plus. Potential for 7-8 touchdowns and over 1,000 all-purprose yards is certainly in his range of outcomes. With the names still left out at other positions, I decided to lock up another potential top 25 back.
6.8, Hunter Henry, LAC, TE
Others Considered: Nobody
O.J. Howard and Evan Engram both went between this pick and the last round, leaving Hunter Henry for me to easily snag. Henry is healthy, and is primed for a big year in Los Angeles. He is in the midst of a good offense, and has already proven he can dominate in this league. Henry has a 70% catch rate in his career, and the red zone production has been stellar. His potential on a year where he is the true TE1 is going to be a fun fantasy ride getting him in the sixth range. Landing Henry right now doesn’t leave me searching for deeper value later on.
7.5, Matt Ryan, ATL, QB
Others Considered: Marvin Jones, Golden Tate
Sterling Shepard, Dante Pettis, and Christian Kirk all went right before me, who were all on my radar for securing a WR3 within my lineup. I was looking at a 31-year-old Marvin Jones, and Golden Tate who is now with the Giants. Debating both, ultimately I couldn’t go here in the seventh round. I believe I could find a better value moving forward. A few quarterbacks went off the board, and Matt Ryan was still there. Coming off a tremendous season, Ryan still has a lot to offer. With an improved offensive line and one of the best receiving cores, I am going back to the well with Matty Ice.
8.8, Geronimo Allison, GB, WR
Others Considered: Keke Coutee
I had those wideout names going at least one round later, which is where I was hoping to land them. A big wideout run puts me in position to land either Geronimo Allison or Keke Coutee. Settling on Allison for a few reasons. In four games he had 30 targets, positing a 20-303-2 line before getting injured. He is 25 years old and comes in at 6’3 compared to Coutee’s 5’10 stature that limits his touchdown upside. Allison has a chance to be a strong WR2 in Green Bay, and while I wish I could have the confidence to get him later, I will snag him in the eighth round.
9.5, Donte Moncrief, PIT, WR
Others Considered: Rashaad Penny, Latavius Murray
Needing to hit on some of my wideouts is going to be key in the late stages, and with a solid group of backs, I opted to skip the names above. Latavius Murray ultimately would have been the one I selected for some depth, but Donte Moncrief is a wideout I needed to add on. The names won’t be pretty for the bench wideouts, but hitting on one of them would be huge. Pittsburgh has a lot of targets up for grabs, and Moncrief should jump into a pretty solid role. Health has always been his biggest downside, but when healthy has been a touchdown machine. I will opt to go with a more PPR type wideout later.
10.8, Dion Lewis, TEN, RB
Others Considered: Austin Ekeler, Tyrell Williams
Looking at the quarterbacks still left, I could have waited. Drew Brees, Jameis Winston, Jared Goff are still all available. There wasn’t anyone I truly loved at the round I took Ryan, so I am still fine with it. With much of the top value off the board already, I give myself some security with Derrick Henry. Lewis won’t be much worth if Henry is healthy, but he is a depth piece worth grabbing given the surrounding options.
11.5, Jamison Crowder, NYJ, WR
Others Considered: Nyheim Hines, John Brown
As mentioned above, I went with a name more geared for PPR potential. Jamison Crowder is now in New York, and he should see a higher dose of targets. Coming off a year with only 50, it was hard for him to have any sort of value. Injuries have also dragged down Crowder, but hard to weight that this deep in the draft. A backup wideout in a PPR league, you could do worse.
12.8, Jacksonville Jaguars, JAX, D/ST
Others Considered: Nobody
It was time for a defense, and three were off the board already. Weirdly, Jacksonville wasn’t one of them. Yes they are coming off a down year after being one of the best fantasy defenses before that, but a strong core returns with also a top ten defensive pick from the draft. Everything from the pass rush to the secondary is above average, and fantasy points should come about. Looking at the schedule for the Jags, they see seven teams in the bottom half in offensive efficiency.
13.5, Jordan Reed, WAS, TE
Others Considered: Adam Humphries, Jameis Winston
Nothing more than a flier on Jordan Reed, who has potential to see a ton of targets if healthy. Of course, health has dragged Reed down to the bottom of drafts. The passing game is also not a given with Case Keenum, and Dwayne Haskins. No real risk here taking a shot on Reed this late in drafts.
14.8, Dak Prescott, DAL, QB
Others Considered: Kirk Cousins
Dak Prescott was left late, and is certainly a name to keep an eye on for those looking to just draft a quarterback in the latter third of drafts. Prescott gives a good floor with his rushing potential, and remains a guy to flirt with 30 total touchdowns and 4,000 yards of total offense.
15.5, Greg Zuerlein, LAR, K
Others Considered: Harrison Butker, Justin Tucker
A kicker run was looming with nobody taking one yet, so Greg Zuerlein was an easy grab, although you can make the case for the other two names. Zuerlein missed five games, but nearly was still a top ten kicker. We want teams that move the ball and play quick, the Rams do both. The volume has been sky high for Zuerlein, and he is a safe pick weekly.
16.8, Mohamed Sanu, ATL, WR
Others Considered: Any healthy body
Last pick of the draft goes to Mohamed Sanu, who is a low ceiling WR3 option on the Falcons. He brings a potential 50-700-4 line to the table, especially in the Falcons offense. Targets should drop down with Calvin Ridley more solidified in the offense.
Overall it isn’t a bad fantasy team. There were a few ways to go with the spot out of the fifth, and reaching for David Johnson a tad isn’t something I am going to shy away from this year. One of the things that I noted was that those deeper wideout values that could breakout this year went much higher than expected. I will say David Montgomery in the 5th would be a make or break pick, The middle tier of wideouts just wasn’t enticing in this draft, and I didn’t feel the need to go there after landing Evans and Cooper.
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