Philadelphia 76ers vs. Oklahoma City Thunder: Predictions, Starting Lineups (11/25/23)
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The Philadelphia 76ers (10-5) encounter the Oklahoma City Thunder (11-4) this Saturday (11/25/23). Get 76ers vs. Thunder moneyline and spread odds, as well as predictions, starting lineups, injuries, and key matchups below.
Philadelphia 76ers vs. Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction
The Thunder are outscoring opponents by 14.5 points per 100 possessions in the first quarter – good for 3rd in the NBA. Philadelphia, on the other hand, is being outscored by 8.3 points per 100 possessions, which places them 24th. In addition to the trends favoring Oklahoma City, they also have the tools to match up against Philadelphia.
Per Basketball Index, Chet Holmgren owns the second most rim points saved per 75 possessions across the NBA. He’s also fourth in block percentage and third in contested shots per game. His length will be a massive nuisance against Tyrese Maxey’s drives and Embiid’s jump shots. Lu Dort and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander are elite perimeter defenders too, so Maxey will find it difficult to initially penetrate the paint. Factor in Kenrich Williams and Cason Wallace’s defensive impact, and the Thunder can limit the 76ers’ offense.
On the other end, Holmgren’s range and role versatility will pull Embiid away from the paint, where he has been an elite rim protector all season. Dort and Wallace’s scorching hot three-point shots also deter Philadelphia’s wings from sagging, thus opening driving lanes for Gilgeous-Alexander and Giddey. OKC’s thriving offense takes a hit with Jalen Williams out, but their plethora of ball handlers mean they can still run smoothly here.
Philadelphia 76ers vs. Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction: 1st Quarter Thunder +0.5
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Philadelphia 76ers vs. Oklahoma City Thunder Best Odds
The visiting 76ers are favored by 1.5 points, so the books are predicting a close game. For Oklahoma City’s -105 moneyline to be profitable in the long run, they need to win this matchup about 51.3 percent of the time. Otherwise, the bet owns a negative expected value.
Philadelphia 76ers Starting Lineup
PG: Tyrese Maxey
SG: De’Anthony Melton
SF: Tobias Harris
PF: Nicolas Batum
C: Joel Embiid
Oklahoma City Thunder Starting Lineup
PG: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
SG: Lu Dort
SF: Josh Giddey
PF: Kenrich Williams
C: Chet Holmgren
Philadelphia 76ers vs. Oklahoma City Thunder Injuries
Kelly Oubre Jr (16.3 PPG) is out for the 76ers, while Danuel House Jr is questionable. On the other side, Jalen Williams (17.5 PPG) is out, and Lindy Waters III is questionable.
Philadelphia 76ers vs. Oklahoma City Thunder Key Matchups
OKC Transition Offense
The Thunder lead the NBA in halfcourt Net Rating per NBA columnist Shane Young, so their offense is eclectic when they thrive in transition too. Per ShotQuality, Philadelphia ranks 24th in transition defense based on opponent shot quality, and they are allowing it at the 4th largest frequency. The 76ers must clean up this deficiency and not allow the Thunder to run-and-gun.
Every team’s halfcourt production one month into the season
The Oklahoma City Thunder are knocking on the door. Ready to announce themselves as contenders. pic.twitter.com/VAhAGGX6Kl
— Shane Young (@YoungNBA) November 23, 2023
