Las Vegas Aces vs. Washington Mystics Prediction, Odds and Game Preview – July 4

The Las Vegas Aces (11-6) will try to continue a five-game winning stretch when hosting the Washington Mystics (5-15) on July 4, 2024 at Michelob ULTRA Arena.

Before you place an informed wager on the matchup, take a loot at the best bets available in Thursday’s game based on our computer predictions.

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Spread: Mystics (+15.5) to Cover

  • The spread for this matchup suggested by the model (10.7 points) is considerably less than the 15.5-point edge DraftKings gives to the Aces, though the data still has them as the favorite. Put your money on the Mystics to cover.
  • The Mystics have gone 13-6-1 ATS this season.
  • The Aces’ ATS record is 7-10-0 this season.
  • Las Vegas is 1-2 against the spread when favored by 15.5 points or more this season.

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Total: Under 172.5

  • The DraftKings point total for this matchup is just 6.0 points highter than the model projection.
  • Of 17 games so far this season, the Aces have had eight with over 172.5 points scored, their current matchup’s over/under.
  • Three of Washington’s 20 games this season have had more than 172.5 total points scored.
  • In the Aces’ 20 games with a set total, nine have hit the over (45%).
  • Mystics games have hit the over in 11 out of 20 opportunities (55%).

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Moneyline Winner: Aces (-1667)

  • Prediction: Aces 89, Mystics 78
  • Las Vegas has won 11 of the 17 games when it was favored on the moneyline this season (64.7%).

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Aces Leaders

  • The Aces leader in points and rebounds is A’ja Wilson, who scores 27.0 points and grabs 11.0 boards per game.
  • Jackie Young is Las Vegas’ best passer, dispensing 5.7 assists per game while scoring 18.7 PPG.
  • Kelsey Plum makes more threes per game than any other member of the Aces, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 3.0 per contest.
  • Wilson is Las Vegas’ leader in steals and blocks, racking up 1.9 steals and 2.5 blocks per game.

Aces Injuries

Name Game Status Injury
Kierstan Bell Out Leg

Mystics Leaders

  • Ariel Atkins averages 14.3 points per game to be the top scorer for the Mystics.
  • Washington’s leader in rebounds is Aaliyah Edwards with 6.2 per game, and its leader in assists is Julie Vanloo with 5.4 per game.
  • Stefanie Dolson is the most prolific from deep for the Mystics, hitting 2.3 threes per game.
  • Atkins (1.5 steals per game) is the steal leader for Washington while Edwards (1.1 blocks per game) is the block leader.

Mystics Injuries

Name Game Status Injury
Shakira Austin Out Hip
Brittney Sykes Out Foot
Karlie Samuelson Out Hand

All stats in this article refer to the 2024 regular season.

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