Las Vegas Aces vs. Washington Mystics Prediction, Odds and Game Preview – July 4
The Las Vegas Aces (11-6) will try to continue a five-game winning stretch when hosting the Washington Mystics (5-15) on July 4, 2024 at Michelob ULTRA Arena.
Before you place an informed wager on the matchup, take a loot at the best bets available in Thursday’s game based on our computer predictions.
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Contents
Spread: Mystics (+15.5) to Cover
- The spread for this matchup suggested by the model (10.7 points) is considerably less than the 15.5-point edge DraftKings gives to the Aces, though the data still has them as the favorite. Put your money on the Mystics to cover.
- The Mystics have gone 13-6-1 ATS this season.
- The Aces’ ATS record is 7-10-0 this season.
- Las Vegas is 1-2 against the spread when favored by 15.5 points or more this season.
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Total: Under 172.5
- The DraftKings point total for this matchup is just 6.0 points highter than the model projection.
- Of 17 games so far this season, the Aces have had eight with over 172.5 points scored, their current matchup’s over/under.
- Three of Washington’s 20 games this season have had more than 172.5 total points scored.
- In the Aces’ 20 games with a set total, nine have hit the over (45%).
- Mystics games have hit the over in 11 out of 20 opportunities (55%).
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Moneyline Winner: Aces (-1667)
- Prediction: Aces 89, Mystics 78
- Las Vegas has won 11 of the 17 games when it was favored on the moneyline this season (64.7%).
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Aces Leaders
- The Aces leader in points and rebounds is A’ja Wilson, who scores 27.0 points and grabs 11.0 boards per game.
- Jackie Young is Las Vegas’ best passer, dispensing 5.7 assists per game while scoring 18.7 PPG.
- Kelsey Plum makes more threes per game than any other member of the Aces, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 3.0 per contest.
- Wilson is Las Vegas’ leader in steals and blocks, racking up 1.9 steals and 2.5 blocks per game.
Aces Injuries
Name | Game Status | Injury |
---|---|---|
Kierstan Bell | Out | Leg |
Mystics Leaders
- Ariel Atkins averages 14.3 points per game to be the top scorer for the Mystics.
- Washington’s leader in rebounds is Aaliyah Edwards with 6.2 per game, and its leader in assists is Julie Vanloo with 5.4 per game.
- Stefanie Dolson is the most prolific from deep for the Mystics, hitting 2.3 threes per game.
- Atkins (1.5 steals per game) is the steal leader for Washington while Edwards (1.1 blocks per game) is the block leader.
Mystics Injuries
Name | Game Status | Injury |
---|---|---|
Shakira Austin | Out | Hip |
Brittney Sykes | Out | Foot |
Karlie Samuelson | Out | Hand |
All stats in this article refer to the 2024 regular season.
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