Las Vegas Aces vs. Los Angeles Sparks Prediction, Odds and Game Preview – July 5

Two of the league’s best scorers — A’ja Wilson (first, 26.5 points per game) and Dearica Hamby (10th, 18.3) — match up when the Las Vegas Aces (12-6) visit the Los Angeles Sparks (4-15) on July 5, 2024 on ION.

Our computer predictions in this article will help you pick what are the best bets available for Friday’s game.

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Spread: Sparks (+12.5) to Cover

  • The Aces are favored by both DraftKings and the model, but the model has them winning by significantly less (12.5 to 7.8 points). Take the Sparks and the points.
  • The Sparks are 8-10-1 against the spread this year.
  • Los Angeles has a 5-0 record against the spread this season when an underdog by 12.5 points or more.
  • The Aces are 8-10-0 ATS this season.
  • Las Vegas has a 3-4 record against the spread this season when favored by 12.5 points or more.

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Total: Under 173.5

  • The DraftKings point total for this game is just 6.3 points highter than the model projection.
  • This season, the Aces games have gone over 173.5 points scored, their current matchup’s over/under, nine (out of 18) times.
  • Los Angeles has played in three games this season (15.8% of chances) in which the teams combined to score more than 173.5 points.
  • A total of 10 of the Aces’ 19 games with a set total have hit the over (52.6%).
  • The teams have hit the over in nine of the Sparks’ 19 games with a set total.

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Moneyline Winner: Aces (-1000)

  • Prediction: Aces 88, Sparks 80
  • Los Angeles has entered the game as the underdog 16 times this season and won three, or 18.8%, of those games.

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Aces Leaders

  • The scoring and rebounding leader for the Aces is Wilson, who puts up 26.5 points and 10.9 rebounds per game.
  • Jackie Young leads Las Vegas in assists, averaging 5.9 per game while also scoring 18.8 points per contest.
  • The Aces get the most three-point shooting production out of Kelsey Plum, who knocks down 3.2 threes per game.
  • The Las Vegas leader in both steals and blocks is Wilson, who averages 1.9 takeaways and 2.5 rejections per game.

Aces Injuries

Name Game Status Injury
Kierstan Bell Out Leg

Sparks Leaders

  • Hamby sits on top of the Sparks leaderboards for scoring and rebounding with 18.3 points and 10.3 rebounds per game.
  • Aari McDonald dishes out more assists than any other Los Angeles teammate with 3.9 per game. She also scores 9.1 points and pulls down 2.1 rebounds per game.
  • Kia Nurse is dependable from deep and leads the Sparks with 1.6 made threes per game.
  • Los Angeles’ leader in steals is Hamby (1.5 per game), and its leader in blocks is Cameron Brink (2.3 per game).

Sparks Injuries

Name Game Status Injury
Lexie Brown Out Chron’S Disease
Cameron Brink Out For Season Acl
Julie Allemand Out For Season Ankle
Azurá Stevens Out Arm

All stats in this article refer to the 2024 regular season.

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