Get Alabama vs. Michigan player prop picks & odds for their (1/1/24) Rose Bowl matchup which serves as the first of two games in the 2024 College Football playoff.
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Alabama Vs. Michigan Player Prop Picks
There’s a tremendous amount of talent on the field in this year’s Rose Bowl — from quarterbacks JJ McCarthy and Jalen Milroe to star skill players Blake Corum and Jermaine Burton — so let’s dig into some Alabama vs. Michigan player prop picks and odds for the 1/1/24 matchup.
Blake Corum Anytime First Half Touchdown Scorer (+120)
There’s no better touchdown scorer in the country than Blake Corum, who found the end zone in every single Michigan game this season. With a school-record 24 total scores on the season, he picked up multiple touchdowns in nine of Michigan’s 13 games so far, including matchups with ranked opponents featuring top-10 defenses such as Penn State, Ohio State, and Iowa.
As the centerpiece of Michigan’s potent offense, expect Corum to score at least once in the first half, even if the Wolverines mostly turn to the air. Unless they’re hitting home runs and scoring from long range, any long, methodical drive will end with carries for Corum inside the 10 yard line. He also has big-play ability, as he showed with the key go-ahead touchdown against Ohio State.
Corum has scored in three consecutive first quarters and eight consecutive first halves, so don’t expect this to be the rare game where he’s kept off of the score sheet.
J.J. McCarthy Over 185.5 Passing Yards (-114)
This number is set based on what’s already happened, not what’s going to happen next. McCarthy has been less prolific across the last four games, which has mostly been a stretch of playing all of the country’s best defenses, but this week should be different. Alabama has a tough front seven, which could cause some issues for Michigan in the inside ground game as they adjust to life without captain and All-American guard Zak Zinter, so the Wolverines are likely going to want to throw the football.
As he showed against Ohio State once again, McCarthy can make every throw on the field, even against tough pass rushes. Last year, the Wolverines stayed conservative all season until they needed to open things up, allowing McCarthy to let it rip and pick up a ton of yardage against the Buckeyes. Expect something similar this week, Michigan’s toughest test yet, as he’ll attack the middle of the field in a way we haven’t seen in recent weeks.
Jalen Milroe Over 32.5 Rushing Yards (-114)
Milroe is going to be faced with a defense the likes of which he hasn’t seen all season. It was a down-year for defense across the SEC, and even though Alabama played a tough Texas defense earlier in the season, they failed the test. The greatest strength for Texas is their front seven, while Michigan’s secondary is the nation’s best by almost any metric. Alabama has some good receivers, but nothing compared to the groups we’ve seen in years past, featuring hyper-talents like Jaylen Waddle, Jerry Jeudy, and Heisman winner DeVonta Smith.
So, with his receivers struggling to find space, expect Milroe to leverage his athleticism and take off. He could eclipse this number in just a few carries if Michigan does anything other than the double-spy method we saw from Georgia in the SEC Championship Game. Milroe was limited on the ground in that game, but he’s averaging 39 rushing yards per game this season and has been over 32.5 in half of his outings. In a game that should be decidedly above-average in terms of his ground volume, be sure to invest in this over.
Colston Loveland Over 36.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
This pick is the first of two that are highly correlated with previous selections in this article; as McCarthy’s volume trends upwards, so will Loveland’s. Roman Wilson snagged the headlines and the footballs all year as he scored ridiculous amounts of touchdowns, but in terms of yardage, Loveland was almost as prolific as he helped the Wolverines move the chains consistently.
Loveland is often McCarthy’s go-to receiver in the biggest spots. He was the team’s leader by a good bit with 88 receiving yards against Ohio State, and has just one fewer reception than Wilson on the year. Alabama’s safeties and cornerbacks are fantastic in coverage, and could limit players like Wilson and Cornelius Johnson. Expect McCarthy to throw over the middle early and often, attacking a linebacker group that’s weaker in coverage and can’t run with Loveland.
Jermaine Burton Under 53.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
This one’s pretty straightforward as well; if Milroe is throwing less, his top wideout probably won’t draw as much volume. But when Milroe does throw, expect him to do something similar to what we outlined above for McCarthy, and shy away from his top wideout due to the positional matchup.
There’s an argument to be made that Will Johnson is the best cornerback in the country. He did a fantastic job against Marvin Harrison Jr. in the Ohio State game, and while he picked up an injury in that contest- allowing Harrison to put up a better second half- he should be good to go against Alabama. Don’t expect Milroe, who has good arm talent but still needs to work on his accuracy, to pick on Michigan’s best player as he blankets ‘Bama’s top wideout; his targets will go elsewhere.