NFL Anytime Touchdown Odds & Best Bets (10/15/23): Week 6 Anytime TD Expert Picks & Predictions

Get Anytime Touchdown player prop picks & odds for the (10/15/23) NFL Sunday slate.

Anytime Touchdown Player Prop Picks

Check out below for Week Six Anytime Touchdown best bets. In this prop, the goal is to select a player who scores at least one rushing or receiving touchdown at any point in the game (passing touchdowns do not count for QBs). 

Drake London Anytime Touchdown (+205 Caesars)

Atlanta’s passing offense is nearly lifeless with Desmond Ridder under center. The Falcons are 23rd in net yards gained per pass attempt and 27th in dropback expected points added per play. However, Drake London’s talent is undeniable, and he owns more than double the amount of red zone targets than the next best Falcon. 

He faces a Commanders defense that has allowed the most passing touchdowns to wide receivers, ranks 28th in opponent dropback expected points added per play, and ranks dead last in percentage of opponent drives ending in an offensive score. Look for London to feast against these defensive backs, especially in the red zone where he can utilize his 6’4” frame. 

London must score about 32 percent of the time based on the odds.

Kenneth Walker III Anytime Touchdown (+110 FD)

Despite playing four games, Walker possesses five touchdowns, ranks fourth across the NFL in red zone carries and ranks second in inside the five-yard-line carries. The Seahawks are content to feed Walker the football in every area of the field, so he should see scoring chances regardless of matchup. 

Fortunately, Cincinnati’s defense has given up the second most rushing yards and sits at 27th in opponent rush expected points added per play. This defensive line is bleeding production to backs, and Walker should exploit them given his explosiveness. 

He needs to score a touchdown about 47 percent of the time based on the odds. 

Calvin Ridley Anytime Touchdown (+140 Caesars)

Ridley’s receiving yards and longest reception props both are excellent bets to me, and the same is true of his anytime touchdown prop. 

Indianapolis’ defense is 30th in opponent receiving yards, 27th in opponent receptions, and 25th in PFF’s coverage grade. Through five games, the opponent’s top receiver has averaged 8 receptions, 119.6 yards, and 0.6 touchdowns against them. Extend that to 17 games, and that’s on pace for 2,033 yards and 10 touchdowns. In other words, Indianapolis cannot contain the best pass-catchers in the slightest. Those figures included Calvin Ridley’s week one performance against them, where he produced 101 yards and a touchdown. Look for Ridley to repeat his dominance versus the Colts. 

He needs to score about 41 percent of the time based on the odds.

Adam Thielen Anytime Touchdown (+225 DK)

Despite his age, Thielen is the only pass-catcher on this Carolina offense that can consistently get open. Through five games, he has 394 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns, which easily paces the Panthers. In addition, the veteran also leads Carolina in red zone targets and inside the ten-yard-line targets, so he’s been Bryce Young’s favorite scoring target. 

Miami’s defense isn’t exactly stifling. They are 24th in percentage of opponent drives ending in an offensive score and tied 21st in allowed receiving touchdowns. Thielen will dominate scoring chances for Carolina here, so grabbing +225 odds is excellent. He needs to score about 30 percent of the time.

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Braxton has been covering the NBA for Lineups since the 2021-22 season. He's worked with multiple collegiate coaching staffs about analytics and scouting, which has allowed him to understand the game on a deeper level. Braxton is also a contributor at Thunderous Intentions and NBA Analysis Network.

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