Arizona Cardinals vs. Chicago Bears NFL Player Props & Picks (12/24/23)
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Get Arizona Cardinals vs. Chicago Bears player prop picks & odds for the (12/24/23) matchup
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Arizona Cardinals vs. Chicago Bears Player Prop Picks
While the Cardinals vs. Bears matchup might not feature the most playoff implications this week, it’s still a fascinating game that provides some intriguing player prop betting opportunities. In this article, I’ll offer up some of my favorite player prop looks from this game.
Be sure to use the player prop search tool above to compare odds from different books in your market as they can vary significantly. Check out the Lineups YouTube channel for more player prop coverage for this week. Let’s get to work.
Trey McBride Over 58.5 Receiving Yards (-115 DraftKings)
The return of Kyler Murray for the Cardinals has been a massive boost for Trey McBride’s production as the second-year tight end has been over this prop in four of five games with Murray. He’s averaging 85 yards per game over that stretch, and he’s in a position to succeed once again against a defense that allows 58.1 receiving yards per game to tight ends, the ninth-most in the NFL.
McBride’s advanced metrics are insane. His 27% target per route run rate leads all tight ends and would rank third among wide receivers behind only Tyreek Hill and Davante Adams. He’s averaging 2.30 yards per route run, which leads all tight ends and would rank 14th among wide receivers. McBride is the future of the tight end position and should smash again this week.
D.J. Moore Over 63.5 Receiving Yards (-120 BetMGM)
D.J. Moore has been a transformative player for the Bears’ offense, and he ranks 10th among 100 qualified receivers with a 121 passer rating when targeted. His 1,123 receiving yards this season rank 8th in the NFL, and he might have even more if Justin Fields played the entire season. Moore is averaging 91.2 receiving yards per game with Fields under center.
Moore was limited to 52 receiving yards last week on the road against one of the best pass defenses in the NFL in the Browns. Now, he returns home to face a Cardinals defense ranked 31st in DVOA and EPA against the pass. The Cardinals have been burned by wide receivers all season, and Moore should be the next in line to post video game-like numbers against their secondary.
James Conner Under 53.5 Rushing Yards (-114 FanDuel)
Since returning to the lineup in Week 12, James Conner has 60+ rushing yards in four of his five games. He’s averaged over 70 rushing yards per game in that span. So why take the under on him here? This is one of the toughest matchups in the NFL for opposing running backs, and Conner has an uphill battle against the Bears.
The Bears have allowed just 79.8 rushing yards per game, the fewest in the NFL, and they rank top three in run defense DVOA, EPA, and success rate. The Bears have allowed a running back over this rushing yardage number in just four of their 14 games this season. Behind an offensive line ranked just 21st in adjusted line yards, I’d be comfortable fading Conner this week given the matchup.