Arizona Diamondbacks 2019 Season Preview: Fantasy Analysis
Arizona Diamondbacks 2019 Season Preview
2018 Record: 82 – 80
Projected 2019 Record: 77 – 85
2018 Recap & 2019 Team Outlook
Arizona was looking like a Wild Card or even NL West contender until the second half came around. They slumped and the season started to slip away. They still finished above .500, but now after recent trades and free agent losses, that is unlikely to happen in 2019.
Losing Paul Goldschmidt and A.J. Pollock was big. They have been cornerstone pieces for the franchise over the last few seasons, and they had little to replace them. They will still rely on the likes of Jake Lamb and David Peralta, but they are not Pollock or Goldy.
2019 has hopes because the staff still has a lot of value. Zack Greinke is an older arm, who has figured out how to pitch with lowered velocity. Robbie Ray and Zack Godley both had up and down seasons, but are strong mid-rotation arms.
Losing Paul Goldschmidt and A.J. Pollock are the big storylines from the Diamondbacks offseason. How they deal with their losses this season is going to be tough. The offense is projected to take a dip, but they have a rotation that they can lean on.
Will Arizona trade the talent they do have in July? The Diamondbacks still have talent that other teams will likely look at if they are in the playoff hunt and need that little extra. We could see Arizona really have a depleted team come the end of the season.
Was Luke Weaver enough in the Goldschmidt deal? Arizona opted to send Goldy to St. Louis, and in return got Luke Weaver and Carson Kelly. It is not a strong haul, especially as Weaver just hasn’t clicked yet at the big league level.
2019 Starting Pitchers
Arizona still has a respectable pitching staff, and it is rather deep as well. They benefitted from the humidor at Chase Field, which is now more of a neutral to pitcher friendly ballpark. Zack Greinke will open up the season as a number one. He is still a name that can flirt with 200 strikeouts.
Robbie Ray is another name that can flirt with 200 strikeouts, if he can stay healthy. He relies heavily on his off-speed stuff, which can also cause walk issues. Zack Godley is a good innings eater, who had some odd walk issues last season. Either way he should be around the 3.75-4.00 mark for an ERA with a strikeout per inning.
Luke Weaver was the name that came over from St. Louis, and is projected to have a WHIP near 1.50. This is not appealing for the return of your franchise face.
Merrill Kelly is going to round out the rotation. He won’t log a ton of innings, but will have some decent starts, but is matchup dependent.
2019 Relief Pitchers
Arizona will not resort to Archie Bradley early in the season, and instead will use Greg Holland. Bradley was unreliable down the stretch, and will look to get into form early on. Andrew Chafin was a strong guy out of the pen last season, and the addition of Hirano is another nice piece. The staff in addition to the bullpen could carry this team to above average wins.
With no Paul Goldschmidt and A.J. Pollock, we look to the new lineup. Ketel Marte is expected to move up into the leadoff spot, and also play outfield. He had a solid 2018 for his standards, and a leadoff role would help his fantasy value.
Eduardo Escobar was a trade piece that carried over, and is one of the better bats on the team. He is projecting for over 20 HR this season, and that goes for David Peralta and Jake Lamb too. These are the three names with the most upside and fantasy value from this lineup.
Arizona filled out their lineup with names like Adam Jones and Wilmer Flores. You could have gotten worse players, and they are at least intriguing bats.
Carson Kelly will be behind the dish this season. He is a low end prospect, who doesn’t project well for 2019. Outside of these names it is a lackluster bench. Steven Souza missing the season isn’t going to help their power numbers.
Projected Starting Lineup
- Ketel Marte
- Eduardo Escobar
- David Peralta
- Jake Lamb
- Adam Jones
- Nick Ahmed
- Wilmer Flores
- Carson Kelly
Noteworthy Fantasy Pitchers
Robbie Ray – Robbie Ray is always a threat to strikeout 200+ hitters. However, he is going to have some blowup starts that drive that ERA up at times. He also has issues with walks. With Chase Field playing more towards pitchers, Ray is still a strong fantasy arm, especially if you miss out on that first wave of big strikeout arms.
Noteworthy Fantasy Hitters
David Peralta – David Peralta changed his approach last season and it paid off for him. He is one of three Diamondbacks bats projected for over 20 HR. He is also moving into the three spot this season. Peralta is a middle tier outfielder to consider, who is going to chip in across the board. He also projects for the highest OBP on the team.