Predictions for Astros vs. Marlins: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – July 10

Wednesday’s game at Minute Maid Park has the Houston Astros (47-44) taking on the Miami Marlins (32-59) at 8:10 PM. Our computer prediction projects a 5-3 win for the Astros, who are a slight favorite based on our model.

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Astros vs. Marlins Matchup Info

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Astros vs. Marlins Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Astros 5, Marlins 3
  • Total Prediction: Under 8 runs

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Astros vs. Marlins Betting Lines

Astros vs Marlins Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Astros -238 +195 8 -112 -108

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Astros Betting Insights

  • Houston has come away with 34 wins in the 64 contests it has been listed as the favorite in this season.
  • The Astros are not lost in four games this year when favored by -238 or better on the moneyline.
  • Houston and its opponents have hit the over in 35 of 91 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Astros were the moneyline favorite in six of their past 15 games, and they won every time.
  • In its past 15 matchups (all had set totals), Houston combined with its opponents to hit the over on the run total eight times.

Marlins Betting Insights

  • Miami has won 37.8% of the games this season it was the moneyline underdog (28-46).
  • The Marlins are 2-7 (winning just 22.2% of their games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +195 or longer.
  • In the 91 games bookmakers have set an over/under for Miami, it has combined with opponents to go over the total 46 times (46-42-3).
  • In 13 games over their past 15 matchups when set as underdogs by bookmakers, the Marlins had a record of 5-8.
  • Miami and its opponents have combined to hit the over seven times in its past 15 games with a total.

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Astros vs. Marlins Probable Pitchers

Astros’ Starting Pitcher: Framber Valdez

  • The 30-year-old has an ERA of 3.84, a 2.32 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.303 in 15 games this season.
  • Framber Valdez’s team is 6-6 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
  • Valdez’s team has won eight of his 15 starts.
  • Games Valdez has started this season hit the over four times in 15 chances.

Marlins’ Starting Pitcher: Bryan Hoeing

  • In 12 games this season, he has put up a 1.99 ERA and averages 7.9 strikeouts per nine innings while opposing batters are hitting .214 against him.
  • The Marlins have not been a moneyline underdog when Bryan Hoeing starts this season.
  • His team has lost the only matchup he’s appeared in this season.
  • Hoeing’s lone start with a total this season went under.

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Astros’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 47-44
Home 25-19
Road 22-25
One-Run Games 7-16
Scoring 5+ Runs 36-5

Marlins’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 32-59
Home 18-31
Road 14-28
One-Run Games 15-13
Scoring 5+ Runs 17-11

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