Predictions for Astros vs. Marlins: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – July 11

Thursday’s game between the Houston Astros (48-44) and the Miami Marlins (32-60) at Minute Maid Park has a projected final score of 9-7 based on our computer prediction, with the Astros taking home the win. Game time is at 8:10 PM on July 11.

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Astros vs. Marlins Matchup Info

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Astros vs. Marlins Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Astros 9, Marlins 7
  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs

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Astros vs. Marlins Betting Lines

Astros vs Marlins Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Astros -185 +154 8.5 -120 +100

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Astros Betting Insights

  • Houston has come away with 35 wins in the 65 contests it has been listed as the favorite in this season.
  • This season, the Astros have come away with a win 11 times in 14 chances when named as a favorite of at least -185 or better on the moneyline.
  • Houston and its opponents have hit the over in 36 of 92 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Astros have won all of the seven games they played while the moneyline favorite in their past 15 matchups.
  • Over its past 15 outings, Houston and its opponents combined to hit the over nine times (all 15 of the games had set totals).

Marlins Betting Insights

  • Miami has won 28 of the 75 games it was listed as the moneyline underdog this season (37.3%).
  • The Marlins are 7-19 (winning just 26.9% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of +154 or longer.
  • Miami has had an over/under set by oddsmakers 92 times, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total in 47 of those games (47-42-3).
  • The Marlins have played as underdogs in 13 of their past 15 games and went 4-9 in those contests.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, Miami and its opponents are 7-7-1 in its past 15 games with a total.

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Astros vs. Marlins Probable Pitchers

Astros’ Starting Pitcher: Jake Bloss

  • He has pitched in one game this season with an ERA of 4.91, a batting average against of .353 and 4.9 strikeouts per nine innings.
  • This will be Jake Bloss’ first start this season with his team as the moneyline favorite.
  • Bloss’ team won in his only start this season.
  • The only game started by Bloss with a total this season hit the over.

Marlins’ Starting Pitcher: Roddery Munoz

  • In nine games this season, the 24-year-old has an ERA of 5.48, with 8.1 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are batting .243 against him.
  • The Marlins have been the underdog on the moneyline in seven of Munoz’s starts this season, and they went 2-5 in those games.
  • Over Munoz’s eight starts, his team is 3-5.
  • Roddery Munoz has had eight starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in two of those matchups.

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Astros’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 48-44
Home 26-19
Road 22-25
One-Run Games 7-16
Scoring 5+ Runs 37-5

Marlins’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 32-60
Home 18-31
Road 14-29
One-Run Games 15-13
Scoring 5+ Runs 17-11

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