Predictions for Astros vs. Marlins: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – July 9

Tuesday’s game between the Houston Astros (46-44) and the Miami Marlins (32-58) at Minute Maid Park has a projected final score of 6-4 based on our computer prediction, with the Astros taking home the win. First pitch is at 8:10 PM on July 9.

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Astros vs. Marlins Matchup Info

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Astros vs. Marlins Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Astros 6, Marlins 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs

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Astros vs. Marlins Betting Lines

Astros vs Marlins Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Astros -238 +195 8.5 -104 -124

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Astros Betting Insights

  • Houston has come away with 33 wins in the 63 contests it has been listed as the favorite in this season.
  • The Astros are not lost in three games this year when favored by -238 or better on the moneyline.
  • Houston and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 35 of 90 opportunities.
  • The Astros have won each of the five games they played while the moneyline favorite in their past 15 matchups.
  • In its past 15 outings (all had set totals), Houston combined with its opponents to go over the run total nine times.

Marlins Betting Insights

  • Miami has been the moneyline underdog 73 total times this season. It has finished 28-45 in those games.
  • The Marlins are 2-7 (winning just 22.2% of their games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +195 or longer.
  • Miami has played in 90 games with an over/under set, and it has combined with its opponents to go over the total 46 times (46-41-3).
  • In 13 games as underdogs in their past 15 matchups, the Marlins had a record of 5-8.
  • In its past 15 games with a total, Miami and its opponents are 8-6-1 when it comes to hitting the over.

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Astros vs. Marlins Probable Pitchers

Astros’ Starting Pitcher: Ronel Blanco

  • The 30-year-old has pitched in 16 games this season with an ERA of 2.53, a 2.26 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.010.
  • Ronel Blanco’s team has a record of 8-3 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
  • Blanco’s team is 12-4 when he starts this season.
  • Out of Blanco’s 16 starts with a total this season, four have hit the over.

Marlins’ Starting Pitcher: Trevor Rogers

  • The 26-year-old has put up a 4.91 ERA and 7.5 strikeouts per nine innings across 17 games this season, while allowing a batting average of .283 to his opponents.
  • The Marlins have a 3-11 record in Rogers’ 14 starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
  • Rogers’ team has a 3-14 record in his starts this season.
  • Rogers’ starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in eight of 17 games.

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Astros’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 46-44
Home 24-19
Road 22-25
One-Run Games 6-16
Scoring 5+ Runs 36-5

Marlins’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 32-58
Home 18-31
Road 14-27
One-Run Games 15-12
Scoring 5+ Runs 17-11

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