Predictions for Mets vs. Astros: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – June 28

Friday’s contest between the New York Mets (39-39) and Houston Astros (40-40) matching up at Citi Field has a projected final score of 5-4 (based on our computer prediction) in favor of the Mets, so it should be a competitive matchup. The game will start at 7:10 PM ET on June 28.

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Mets vs. Astros Matchup Info

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Mets vs. Astros Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Mets 5, Astros 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8 runs

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Mets vs. Astros Betting Lines

Mets vs Astros Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Mets -115 -105 8 -115 -105

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Mets Betting Insights

  • New York has been the favorite in 38 games this season, and has come away with the win 20 times (52.6%) in those contests.
  • This year, the Mets have won 17 of 34 games when listed as at least -115 or better on the moneyline.
  • New York’s games have gone over the total in 40 of 78 opportunities.
  • The Mets had a 5-3 record in the eight games they were a moneyline favorite over their last 15 matchups.
  • In its past 15 outings (all had set totals), New York combined with its opponents to go over the run total seven times.

Astros Betting Insights

  • Houston has compiled a 10-9 record in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 52.6% of those games).
  • The Astros have a record of 6-7 when they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of -105 or longer (46.2%).
  • Houston has played in 80 games with an over/under set, and it has combined with its opponents to go over the total 28 times (28-48-4).
  • In five games over their past 15 matchups when set as underdogs by oddsmakers, the Astros had a record of 4-1.
  • Houston and its opponents have combined to hit the over five times in its past 15 games with a total.

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Mets vs. Astros Probable Pitchers

Mets’ Starting Pitcher: José Quintana

  • The 35-year-old has pitched in 15 games this season with a 4.58 ERA and 6.6 strikeouts per nine innings with a batting average against of .257.
  • Jose Quintana’s team has been victorious in 60% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 3-2.
  • Quintana’s team has an 8-7 record in his starts this season.
  • In Quintana’s 15 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over five times.

Astros’ Starting Pitcher: Ronel Blanco

  • The 30-year-old has an ERA of 2.34, with 8.4 strikeouts per nine innings in 14 games this season. Opponents are batting .164 against him.
  • The Astros were the underdog on the moneyline for four Ronel Blanco starts this season — they won all of the games.
  • In Blanco’s 14 starts, his team is 11-3.
  • Blanco’s starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in two of 14 games.

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Mets’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 39-39
Home 20-23
Road 19-16
One-Run Games 16-9
Scoring 5+ Runs 26-11

Astros’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 40-40
Home 24-19
Road 16-21
One-Run Games 5-14
Scoring 5+ Runs 31-4

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