Predictions for Astros vs. Orioles: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – June 23

Sunday’s contest between the Baltimore Orioles (49-27) and Houston Astros (37-40) matching up at Minute Maid Park has a projected final score of 5-4 (based on our computer prediction) in favor of the Orioles, so expect a tight matchup. The game will begin at 2:10 PM ET on June 23.

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Astros vs. Orioles Matchup Info

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Astros vs. Orioles Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Orioles 5, Astros 4
  • Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs

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Astros vs. Orioles Betting Lines

Astros vs Orioles Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Astros -115 -105 8.5 -105 -115

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Astros Betting Insights

  • Houston has been chosen as the favorite in 58 games this year, and has walked away with the win 28 times (48.3%) in those games.
  • This year, the Astros have won 27 of 57 games when listed as at least -115 or better on the moneyline.
  • Houston and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 27 of 77 opportunities.
  • The Astros were the moneyline favorite in 11 of their past 15 games, and they finished 6-5 in those matchups.
  • In its past 15 outings (all had set totals), Houston combined with its opponents to hit the over on the run total four times.

Orioles Betting Insights

  • Baltimore is 10-5 in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 66.7% of those games).
  • The Orioles have a record of 7-4 when playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of -105 or longer (63.6%).
  • In the 75 games bookmakers have set an over/under for Baltimore, it has combined with opponents to go over the total 37 times (37-27-11).
  • In four games as underdogs in their past 15 matchups, the Orioles have a record of 3-1.
  • In its past 15 games with a total, Baltimore and its opponents have combined to hit the over seven times.

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Astros vs. Orioles Probable Pitchers

Astros’ Starting Pitcher: Framber Valdez

  • The 30-year-old has pitched in 12 games this season with an ERA of 3.91, a 2.33 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.208.
  • Framber Valdez’s team has a record of 5-6 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
  • Valdez’s team has a 5-7 record in his starts this season.
  • In Valdez’s 12 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over two times.

Orioles’ Starting Pitcher: Albert Suarez

  • The 34-year-old has amassed an ERA of 2.05, with 7.4 strikeouts per nine innings in 15 games this season. Opponents have a .220 batting average against him.
  • The Orioles have a 2-2 record in Suarez’s four starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
  • Suarez’s team is 5-3 over his eight starts.
  • Suarez’s starts hit the over on the run total one time in eight games with a set total this season.

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Astros’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 37-40
Home 21-19
Road 16-21
One-Run Games 5-14
Scoring 5+ Runs 28-4

Orioles’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 49-27
Home 25-14
Road 24-13
One-Run Games 7-10
Scoring 5+ Runs 36-4

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