Predictions for Astros vs. Twins: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – May 31

Friday’s contest features the Houston Astros (25-32) and the Minnesota Twins (31-25) squaring off at Minute Maid Park in what is expected to be a close matchup, with a projected 4-3 win for the Astros according to our computer prediction. First pitch is at 8:10 PM ET on May 31.

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Astros vs. Twins Matchup Info

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Astros vs. Twins Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Astros 4, Twins 3
  • Total Prediction: Under 8 runs

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Astros vs. Twins Betting Lines

Astros vs Twins Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Astros -130 +110 8 -110 -110

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Astros Betting Insights

  • Houston has been the favorite in 42 games this season, and has come away with the win 19 times (45.2%) in those contests.
  • This season, the Astros have come away with a win 17 times in 33 chances when named as a favorite of at least -130 or better on the moneyline.
  • Houston and its opponents have gone over in 21 of 57 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Astros went 6-5 across the 11 games in which they were favored on the moneyline in their past 15 matchups.
  • Over its past 15 outings (all had set totals), Houston combined with its opponents to hit the over on the run total five times.

Twins Betting Insights

  • Minnesota has compiled a 6-11 record in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 35.3% of those games).
  • When they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +110 or longer, the Twins have a 2-4 record (winning only 33.3% of their games).
  • Minnesota has played in 55 games with an over/under set, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total 25 times (25-28-2).
  • The Twins have played as underdogs in three of their past 15 games and won one of those contests.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, Minnesota and its opponents are 5-9-1 in its past 15 games with a total.

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Astros vs. Twins Probable Pitchers

Astros’ Starting Pitcher: Ronel Blanco

  • The 30-year-old has an ERA of 1.99 and 8.4 strikeouts per nine innings, with a batting average against of .174 in nine games this season.
  • Ronel Blanco’s team has been victorious in 85.7% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 6-1.
  • Blanco’s team has won eight of his nine starts this season.
  • Out of Blanco’s nine starts with a total this season, two have hit the over.

Twins’ Starting Pitcher: Pablo Lopez

  • In 11 games this season, the 28-year-old has a 5.25 ERA and 10.4 strikeouts per nine innings, while allowing a batting average of .256 to his opponents.
  • The Twins were the moneyline underdog for two Pablo Lopez starts this season — they lost both.
  • Lopez’s team is 5-6 over his 11 starts.
  • Lopez has had 11 starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in five of those games.

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Astros’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 25-32
Home 14-15
Road 11-17
One-Run Games 5-12
Scoring 5+ Runs 20-2

Twins’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 31-25
Home 16-13
Road 15-12
One-Run Games 10-4
Scoring 5+ Runs 20-2

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