Atlanta Braves Vs. Philadelphia Phillies (6/30/22) Starting Lineup, Betting Odds, Prediction

The Atlanta Braves are the defending World Series champions and are +1000 to repeat as champions.  The Braves are 43-32 at the of June, second place in the National League East.  They’re +210 to win the division title and have an 86.7% chance of making the 2022 postseason. 

Philadelphia is +3500 to win the 2022 World Series, they last won the title in 2008 and lost the World Series the subsequent year.  In 2022, through 75 games, the Phillies are 39-36, third place in the National League East.  They’re +1500 to win the division crown.  Their last playoff appearance was 2011, they made the playoffs five consecutive seasons, 2007-11

Atlanta Braves Vs. Philadelphia Phillies Betting Odds

The Braves are 8-1 in their last nine during game three of a series.  Under is 5-2 in Atlanta’s last seven during game three of a series.  The Braves are 7-1 in their last eight road games vs. a right-handed starter.  Under is 5-2 in Atlanta’s last seven games vs. a right-handed starter.  Over is 4-1 in the last five meetings between the Braves and Phillies.

Philadelphia is 6-1 in their last seven during game three of a series.  Over is 7-2 in the Phillies last nine during game three of a series.  Philadelphia is 9-2 in their last 11 vs. a team with a winning record.  Over is 12-4 in the Phillies last 16 vs. a team with a winning record.

Atlanta Braves Starting Lineup

I. Anderson R
6-4 4.60 ERA

RF R. Acuna R
SS D. Swanson R
3B A. Riley R
1B M. Olson L
C T. d’Arnaud R
DH M. Ozuna R
LF A. Duvall R
2B O. Arcia R
CF M. Harris L

Atlanta Braves Vs. Aaron Nola (R)

First baseman Matt Olson hit .271 while smashing 39 home runs and driving in 111 runs for the Oakland Athletics in 2021.  This season he’s hitting .253 with 29 doubles, 12 home runs, 42 runs batted in and 137 total bases.  The Atlanta native is slugging .481 with an OPS of .831 in 2022. 

Ozzie Albies has hit eight home runs, driving in 33 runs with a .405 slugging percentage this season.  The second baseman broke his foot in mid-June and is out until August.  Last season, Austin Riley hit .303 with 33 homers, 107 runs batted in while slugging .531.  In 2022, the third baseman is hitting .253 with a team leading 18 home runs, 43 runs batted in and 144 total bases, which also leads Atlanta.  Riley is slugging .505 and has an OPS of .827 this season.  Hometown favorite Dansby Swanson is having a terrific season, hitting .299 with 13 home runs, 43 runs driven in, 139 total bases and an OPS of .856.

Marcell Ozuna has hit nine doubles, 14 home runs, driven in 32 runs with an OPS of .688 this season.  He has 113 total bases with a .409 slugging percentage in 2022.  Adam Duvall has hit 12 doubles, eight home runs, driven in 28 runs with 88 total bases this year.  Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit .281 with seven home runs in 167 at-bats in 2022, since returning from a torn ACL that ended his season in 2021.  He’s currently battling a foot injury and is expected to be out Thursday. 

Aaron Nola is 4-5 in 15 starts with an ERA of 2.98 this season.  In 2022, Nola has pitched 96 2/3 innings, striking out 109 batters, allowing 32 runs with a league leading WHIP of .900.  Against the Braves in his career, the eighth-year righty is 13-8 with an ERA of 3.21, striking out 152 batters in 162 2/3 innings.

Philadelphia Phillies Starting Lineup

A. Nola R
4-5 2.98 ERA

LF K. Schwarber L
1B R. Hoskins R
RF N. Castellanos R
DH D. Hall L
C J. Realmuto R
SS D. Gregorius L
CF O. Herrera L
3B A. Bohm R
2B B. Stott L

Philadelphia Phillies Vs. Ian Anderson (R)

In 2021, Bryce Harper won his second National League MVP in his career.  This season he’s hitting .318 with 21 doubles, a triple, 15 home run and 48 runs batted in to lead the Phillies.  This past weekend, he broke his thumb and is out until at least August. 

Last year, Rhys Hoskins played in 107 games, hitting .247 with 27 home runs and 71 runs batted in.  This season, he has 14 doubles, two triple, 13 home runs, 37 runs batted in with an OPS of .792.  Alec Bohm has hit 12 doubles, a triple, four home runs with 26 runs batted in this season.  Additionally, he has 97 total bases with an OPS of .657. 

J.T. Realmuto has hit 11 doubles, two triples, five home runs with 87 total bases this year.  The Philadelphia catcher has knocked in 29 runs while slugging .363 with an OPS of .677 in 2022. 

Kyle Schwarber who signed with the Phillies in the off-season, hit .266 with 32 home runs and 71 runs batted in while playing for the Washington Nationals and Boston Red Sox last year.   The 2016 World Series champion has hit at least 30 home runs in four major league seasons.  Schwarber leads Philadelphia in home runs this season with 22.  He’s knocked in 47 runs accumulated 137 total bases, while slugging .511 with an OPS of .855 in 2022.  Nick Castellanos hit .309 last season with 34 home runs and 100 runs batted in.  Additionally, he had an OPS of .936 with 306 total bases as a Cincinnati Red.  This year he’s hitting .248 with seven home runs, 37 runs batted in with an OPS of .683.  Castellanos has 109 total bases while slugging .381 in 2022.

Ian Anderson is 6-4 in 14 starts with an ERA of 4.60 this season.  In 2022, the 26-year-old has pitched 74 1/3 innings, striking out 65 batters, allowing 38 runs with a 1.453 WHIP.  Anderson has won 18 games in his three-year career with an ERA of 3.68, striking out 230 batters in 235 innings. 

Atlanta Braves Vs. Philadelphia Phillies Picks & Prediction

The Braves are 42-20 in their last 62 vs. National League East.  Atlanta is scoring 4.75 runs per game, ninth in the majors.  The Braves are hitting .247 as a team, 11^th in MLB with an OPS of .753 which is fourth in the big leagues.  Atlanta’s pitching staff is allowing 4.13 runs per nine innings, 10^th in the majors with opponents hitting .234, ninth in the league.   Over is 6-2 in the Braves last eight road games

Over is 9-3 in the Phillies last 12 home games.  Offensively, Philadelphia is averaging 4.79 runs per nine innings, eighth in the majors.  They are hitting .247 as a team, 12^th overall in MLB with an OPS of .729, 10^thoverall.  The Phillies’ pitching staff is allowing 4.34 runs per nine innings, 16^th in Major League Baseball with opponents hitting .239, 15^th overall.   Philadelphia is 4-1 in their last five home games vs. a right-handed starter.  I’ll go with the Phillies in this game as they’re the healthier team now; Philadelphia covers the 1.5 run spread as the teams combine for under 8.5 runs.