Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers Matchup Preview 10/6/19: Analysis, Depth Charts, Betting Picks, Daily Fantasy
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The Ravens have lost two games in a row, and the defense has allowed monster points in back-to-back weeks. They will be on the road this week against a Pittsburgh offense that finally got going. However, Baltimore is a tougher matchup for this group, and the Ravens are in a spot to also rebound defensively. They come in as slight road favorites, as the Steelers have a lot of names on the injury report. Lamar Jackson has been excellent to start the season, and this is a matchup for him to thrive in. We have usually seen low scoring battles in the history of this matchup, but that will likely not be the case this week, at least for the Ravens side. For odds line movement, and full matchup history, see the Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers Matchup Page.
Date: Sunday, October 6th, 2019
Time: 1:00 ET
Location: Heinz Field – Pittsburgh, PA
Baltimore Ravens: Mark Andrews (P), Brandon Williams (P), Marlon Humphrey (P), Jimmy Smith (Q)
Pittsburgh Steelers: JuJu Smith-Schuster (Q), James Conner (Q), Vance McDonald (D)
Baltimore Ravens Analysis
The Ravens have endured a tough stretch, but are in a good spot to bounce back. Lamar Jackson has completed 65% of his passes this season, and is also rushing for 59.5 rushing yards per game. Tossing just two interceptions, those doubts about him playing quarterback are also gone. It was been a two-headed passing attack, as Marquise Brown has seen 34 targets. He has caught 18 of them for 304 yards and two scores. Willie Snead hasn’t done much, but does have an 8-154-2 line on 11 targets. Mark Andrews has been the other hot target, with 32 of them over the course of the season. He wasn’t quite healthy last week, but should be ready to go. He has caught 70% of his targets, going for a 23-266-3 line. Overall tight ends have gotten more work under Jackson.
Mark Ingram is averaging 38 snaps per game, and Gus Edwards is averaging 21.8. Both have been extremely efficient this season. Ingram has 328 rushing yards and 5 touchdowns. Edwards is rushing for 4.5 yards per carry. Justice Hill hasn’t gotten much work, but is averaging 16.5 snaps per game.
Baltimore Ravens Depth Chart
Pittsburgh Steelers Analysis
Mason Rudolph is averaging seven yards per attempt in his career so far, but is completing 67% of his passes, which you would hope so. The problem has been the big play, which has been non-existent for the Steelers. James Conner’s first big week came against the Bengals, and Baltimore has been surprisingly bad against the run, ranking 28th. They also rank 25th against the pass, but Rudolph hasn’t shown much promise. The injury report is going to tell us more about this offense as the season gets going. Targets have been fairly scattered, but Diontae Johnson has played 33 snaps per game, and has seen 21 targets since getting into a starting spot. He has two touchdowns on the season. Vance McDonald is still out, and Jaylen Samuels might get some more run. We saw him worked into the offense more last week.
Pittsburgh Steelers Depth Chart
Betting Pick: Baltimore Ravens -3
The Ravens are three point favorites on the road this week, and have had a growing moneyline since opening. Vegas also expects this one to be a relatively low scoring game, but I think the Ravens are being undervalued here a bit. Pittsburgh is banged up, and while I expect their stars to still play, Mason Rudolph has shown zero ability to get this offense going. You might ask what about last week? But, the Bengals have one of the worst defenses so far this season. It also looks like they still don’t trust Mason Rudolph fully airing it out. The Ravens spread is something to keep an eye on, as it could move up. I like the spread where it is at right now, and I would take the Ravens to rebound here.
Daily Fantasy: Good Spot For Ravens Passing Attack
The Steelers defense has not been great this season, but I would much rather attack them through the air. Lamar Jackson is in a great spot this week, and has been one of the top fantasy quarterbacks to start the season. Marquise Brown has seen steady volume, despite a quiet few weeks since Weeks 1 and 2. He would be the only viable wideout option in this one, as Willie Snead is not a strong enough volume play to consider. If Mark Andrews is fully healthy, he presents a threat through the air, and Jackson has shown to look his way quite often. As for the Steelers, we need to watch the injury report. While I expect them to play, we need to see at what capacity they can go. Overall Conner is a tournament play and the same goes for Smith-Schuster in tournaments. You can also look at Diontae Johnson, who has been a go-to for Rudolph since being inserted into the starting lineup.