Cincinnati Bengals vs. Baltimore Ravens NFL Player Props & Picks (11/16/23)
Get Bengals vs. Ravens player prop picks & odds for the (11/16/23) Thursday Night Football matchup.
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Cincinnati Bengals vs. Baltimore Ravens Player Prop Picks
AFC North battles are physical regardless of the matchup, but with the Bengals and Ravens both coming off tough losses, Thursday Night Football could be a dogfight. Let’s take a look at some of the best player prop bets from Thursday’s AFC North showdown.
Lamar Jackson Over 42.5 Rushing Yards (-114, FanDuel)
The Bengals are allowing 136.2 rushing yards per game, the third-worst mark in the NFL, and that’s something Lamar Jackson should be prepared to take advantage of on Thursday. He ran for 54 yards against the Bengals in September, even while not running as efficiently as he typically does, and he’s run for 38 yards or more in seven of his 10 games this season. The Bengals’ defense can send quarterbacks scrambling, and arguably no one is better at turning nothing into something with his legs than Jackson.
The Bengals haven’t been tested too heavily by mobile quarterbacks this season, though Jackson and Josh Allen both surpassed the 42-yard mark in their matchups. Even Brock Purdy ran for 57 yards on six attempts against Cincinnati while Deshaun Watson had 45 yards on the ground in September.
The Bengals just don’t have a track record of clamping down on quarterbacks, and with the Ravens’ passing game hitting some bumps in recent weeks, it wouldn’t be surprising to see Jackson take advantage of his mobility.
Tyler Boyd Anytime Touchdown (+240, FanDuel)
Tyler Boyd isn’t the most popular red zone target for Joe Burrow, but he’s been able to find the end zone in about 30 percent of games since 2021 despite playing alongside Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins. With Higgins likely out for Thursday’s game and Chase potentially playing at less than 100 percent on a short week, Boyd could be in line for meaningful targets.
He was used heavily in Higgins’ absence on Sunday against the Texans, going for 117 yards on eight catches and 12 total targets. Burrow targeted Boyd twice in the red zone on Sunday – one pass was incomplete while the other was intercepted. With more sustained, methodical drives expected against the Ravens, Baltimore could limit Ja’Marr Chase’s downfield ability and force Burrow to go to receivers like Boyd, Trenton Irwin, and Andrei Iosivas.
Ja’Marr Chase First Bengals TD Scorer (+340, FanDuel)
Joe Mixon has scored a touchdown in three consecutive games, but none were the Bengals’ first of the day. In fact, the Bengals’ first touchdown in each of their last three games was always a pass. If that trend continues, Ja’Marr Chase could be in line for an early score.
With Higgins out, Burrow went to Chase all throughout the second half on Sunday. That alleviated most concerns about his health — Chase entered as questionable — and it’s when Cincinnati’s offense was at its best.
With all indications that Chase is feeling well enough to play without limitations on Thursday and the third-year WR averaging nearly 25 yards per catch against the Texans, it wouldn’t be surprising to see Burrow stick to the plan and target easily his best weapon early against the Ravens.
Lamar Jackson Under 223.5 Passing Yards (-115, BetMGM)
The Bengals have allowed a surprisingly high number of yards per pass attempt this season, but in what should be a physical, defensive battle (as Thursday night games especially tend to be), the expectation shouldn’t be that Jackson lights up Cincinnati’s defense through the air. He’s come in under 223.5 passing yards in seven of 10 games this season and only threw for more than 240 against the Lions’ soft secondary. Jackson has also attempted less than 30 passes in each of his last four games.
With Keaton Mitchell emerging, the Ravens seem content to put full faith in their running game and let Jackson handle a measured workload through the air. In what should be a tough AFC North battle on a short week, it would be a surprise if the Ravens passed often and likewise a surprise if they fell behind early enough that they needed to pass their way back into the game.
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