Predictions for Astros vs. Blue Jays: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – July 1

Monday’s game that pits the Toronto Blue Jays (38-45) versus the Houston Astros (42-41) at Rogers Centre should be a close matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 5-4 in favor of the Blue Jays. First pitch is at 3:07 PM ET on July 1.

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Astros vs. Blue Jays Matchup Info

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Astros vs. Blue Jays Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Blue Jays 5, Astros 4
  • Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs

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Astros vs. Blue Jays Betting Lines

Astros vs Blue Jays Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Astros -148 +124 8.5 -120 +100

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Astros Betting Insights

  • Houston has been victorious in 30, or 50%, of the 60 contests it has been chosen as the favorite in this season.
  • This season, the Astros have been victorious 22 times in 35 chances when named as a favorite of at least -148 or better on the moneyline.
  • Contests involving Houston have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 31 of 83 chances this season.
  • The Astros went 6-2 across the eight games they were favored on the moneyline in their past 15 matchups.
  • In its past 15 outings (all 15 of them had set totals), Houston and its opponents combined to hit the over seven times.

Blue Jays Betting Insights

  • Toronto is 9-23 in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 28.1% of those games).
  • The Blue Jays have a 3-4 record (winning 42.9% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of +124 or longer.
  • Toronto has combined with opponents to go over the total 39 times this season for a 39-41-3 record against the over/under.
  • In eight games as underdogs in their past 15 matchups, the Blue Jays had a record of 3-5.
  • In its past 15 games with a total, Toronto and its opponents have combined to hit the over 10 times.

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Astros vs. Blue Jays Probable Pitchers

Astros’ Starting Pitcher: Hunter Brown

  • The 25-year-old has pitched in 16 games this season with a 4.37 ERA and 10 strikeouts per nine innings with a batting average against of .252.
  • Hunter Brown’s team is 5-7 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
  • Brown’s team has a 6-9 record in his starts this season.
  • In Brown’s 15 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over five times.

Blue Jays’ Starting Pitcher: Yariel Rodriguez

  • In five games this season, the 27-year-old has an ERA of 5.94, with 9.2 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are batting .304 against him.
  • The Blue Jays were the underdog on the moneyline for one Yariel Rodriguez start this season — they lost.
  • Rodriguez’s team has a 3-2 record in his starts this season.
  • Rodriguez’s starts went over the run total one time in five games with a set total this season.

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Astros’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 42-41
Home 24-19
Road 18-22
One-Run Games 5-14
Scoring 5+ Runs 33-4

Blue Jays’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 38-45
Home 20-21
Road 18-24
One-Run Games 8-14
Scoring 5+ Runs 30-6

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