Predictions for Blue Jays vs. Astros: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – July 2

Tuesday’s game at Rogers Centre has the Toronto Blue Jays (38-46) going head to head against the Houston Astros (43-41) at 7:07 PM ET (on July 2). Our computer prediction projects a narrow 5-4 win for the Blue Jays, so it should be a competitive matchup.

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Blue Jays vs. Astros Matchup Info

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Blue Jays vs. Astros Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Blue Jays 5, Astros 4
  • Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs

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Blue Jays vs. Astros Betting Lines

Blue Jays vs Astros Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Blue Jays -115 -105 8.5 -103 -126

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Blue Jays Betting Insights

  • Toronto has been the favorite in 51 games this season, and has come away with the win 29 times (56.9%) in those contests.
  • The Blue Jays have a win-loss record of 27-21 when favored by -115 or better by bookmakers this year.
  • Toronto’s games have gone over the total in 39 of 84 opportunities.
  • The Blue Jays were the moneyline favorite in six of their past 15 games, and they finished 2-4 in those matchups.
  • Over its past 15 outings, Toronto and its opponents combined to hit the over 10 times (all 15 of the games had set totals).

Astros Betting Insights

  • Houston has put together a 12-10 record in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 54.5% of those games).
  • When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of -105 or longer, the Astros have an 8-7 record (winning 53.3% of their games).
  • In the 84 games oddsmakers have set an over/under for Houston, it has combined with opponents to go over the total 31 times (31-49-4).
  • The Astros have played as underdogs in six of their past 15 games and won five of those contests.
  • Houston and its opponents have combined to hit the over six times in its past 15 games with a total.

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Blue Jays vs. Astros Probable Pitchers

Blue Jays’ Starting Pitcher: José Berríos

  • The 30-year-old has an ERA of 3.38, a 2.92 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.106 in 17 games this season.
  • Jose Berrios’ team has won 77.8% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (7-2).
  • In games Berrios has started, his team is 11-6.
  • In games Berrios has started this season, the teams are 5-10-2 at hitting the over.

Astros’ Starting Pitcher: Spencer Arrighetti

  • The 24-year-old has put up an ERA of 5.68, with 10.4 strikeouts per nine innings in 14 games this season. Opponents are hitting .270 against him.
  • The Astros have been the underdog on the moneyline in three of Arrighetti’s starts this season, and they went 1-2 in those games.
  • Arrighetti’s team has a 7-7 record in his starts this season.
  • Arrighetti’s starts went over the run total seven times in 14 games with a set total this season.

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Blue Jays’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 38-46
Home 20-22
Road 18-24
One-Run Games 8-14
Scoring 5+ Runs 30-6

Astros’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 43-41
Home 24-19
Road 19-22
One-Run Games 5-14
Scoring 5+ Runs 33-4

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