Predictions for Astros vs. Blue Jays: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – July 4

Thursday’s game that pits the Houston Astros (44-42) versus the Toronto Blue Jays (39-47) at Rogers Centre is expected to be a close matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 6-5 in favor of the Astros. First pitch is at 1:07 PM ET on July 4.

Place your bets on any MLB matchup at BetMGM, and sign up with our link for a first-time deposit bonus!

Astros vs. Blue Jays Matchup Info

MLB is back on Apple TV+! Watch two live games every week, daily coverage, and more.

Astros vs. Blue Jays Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Astros 6, Blue Jays 5
  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs

Bet on this or any MLB matchup at BetMGM

Astros vs. Blue Jays Betting Lines

Astros vs Blue Jays Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Astros -112 -108 8.5 -102 -118

Get tickets for any MLB game this season at Ticketmaster!

Astros Betting Insights

  • Houston has been the favorite in 62 games this season, and has come away with the win 32 times (51.6%) in those contests.
  • This season, the Astros have come away with a win 32 times in 62 chances when named as a favorite of at least -112 or shorter on the moneyline.
  • Houston and its opponents have gone over in 33 of 86 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Astros went 7-1 across the eight games in which they were favored on the moneyline in their past 15 matchups.
  • In its past 15 outings — all had a set run total — Houston and its opponents combined to go over the total seven times.

Blue Jays Betting Insights

  • Toronto has won nine of the 34 games it was the underdog on the moneyline this season (26.5%).
  • The Blue Jays are 9-25 (winning just 26.5% of their games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of -108 or longer.
  • Toronto has had an over/under set by bookmakers 86 times, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total in 41 of those games (41-42-3).
  • The Blue Jays have played as underdogs in 10 of their past 15 games and won three of those contests.
  • In its past 15 games with a total, Toronto and its opponents are 11-3-1 when it comes to hitting the over.

Catch MLB action all season long on ESPN+!

Read More About This Game

Astros vs. Blue Jays Probable Pitchers

Astros’ Starting Pitcher: Framber Valdez

  • The 30-year-old has an ERA of 3.80 and 7.2 strikeouts per nine innings, with a batting average against of .252 in 14 games this season.
  • Framber Valdez’s team has a record of 5-6 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
  • Valdez’s team has won seven of his 14 starts.
  • Games started by Valdez have a 4-9-1 record at hitting the over this season.

Blue Jays’ Starting Pitcher: Chris Bassitt

  • The 35-year-old has amassed a 3.24 ERA and 8.4 strikeouts per nine innings across 17 games this season, while giving up a batting average of .259 to opposing batters.
  • The Blue Jays have been the moneyline underdog in nine of Bassitt’s starts this season, and they went 2-7 in those games.
  • Bassitt’s team has a 7-10 record in his starts this season.
  • Bassitt’s starts with a set total this season have hit the over in seven of 17 contests.

Rep your team with officially licensed MLB gear! Head to Fanatics to find jerseys, shirts, and much more.

Astros’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 44-42
Home 24-19
Road 20-23
One-Run Games 5-15
Scoring 5+ Runs 34-5

Blue Jays’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 39-47
Home 21-23
Road 18-24
One-Run Games 9-14
Scoring 5+ Runs 31-6

Not all offers available in all states, please visit BetMGM for the latest promotions for your area. Must be 21+ to gamble, please wager responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, contact 1-800-GAMBLER.

Post
Shared content written by the Lineups Staff!

Hot MLB Stories