Predictions for Blue Jays vs. Pirates: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – May 31

Friday’s game that pits the Toronto Blue Jays (26-29) against the Pittsburgh Pirates (26-30) at Rogers Centre has a good chance to be a close matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 4-3 in favor of the Blue Jays. First pitch is at 7:07 PM ET on May 31.

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Blue Jays vs. Pirates Matchup Info

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Blue Jays vs. Pirates Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Blue Jays 4, Pirates 3
  • Total Prediction: Under 8 runs

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Blue Jays vs. Pirates Betting Lines

Blue Jays vs Pirates Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Blue Jays -185 +154 8 -118 -102

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Blue Jays Betting Insights

  • Toronto has been chosen as the favorite in 35 games this year, and has walked away with the win 20 times (57.1%) in those games.
  • This season, the Blue Jays have come away with a win seven times in 10 chances when named as a favorite of at least -185 or better on the moneyline.
  • Toronto and its opponents have gone over in 23 of 55 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Blue Jays played as the moneyline favorite in 11 of their past 15 games, and they went 6-5 in those matchups.
  • Over its past 15 matchups, Toronto and its opponents combined to go over the run total six times (all 15 of the games had set totals).

Pirates Betting Insights

  • Pittsburgh has won 50% of the games this season it was the moneyline underdog (15-15).
  • The Pirates have played as a moneyline underdog of +154 or longer in just two games this season, which they lost both.
  • In the 56 games oddsmakers have set an over/under for Pittsburgh, it has combined with opponents to go over the total 28 times (28-25-3).
  • The Pirates have played as underdogs in 11 of their past 15 games and won six of those contests.
  • In its past 15 games with a total, Pittsburgh and its opponents are 11-4-0 when it comes to hitting the over.

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Blue Jays vs. Pirates Probable Pitchers

Blue Jays’ Starting Pitcher: José Berríos

  • The 30-year-old has pitched in 11 games this season with a 2.94 ERA and 7.1 strikeouts per nine innings with a batting average against of .232.
  • Jose Berrios’ team has been victorious in 66.7% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 4-2.
  • Berrios’ team is 7-4 when he starts this season.
  • Out of Berrios’ 11 starts with a total this season, three have hit the over.

Pirates’ Starting Pitcher: Bailey Falter

  • The 27-year-old has put up an ERA of 3.55, with 5.1 strikeouts per nine innings in 10 games this season. Opponents are batting .206 against him.
  • The Pirates have a 5-3 record in Falter’s eight starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
  • Falter’s team is 6-4 over his 10 starts.
  • Bailey Falter has had 10 starts that oddsmakers set a total for this season, and five of those outings hit the over.

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Blue Jays’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 26-29
Home 12-12
Road 14-17
One-Run Games 4-9
Scoring 5+ Runs 20-3

Pirates’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 26-30
Home 12-15
Road 14-15
One-Run Games 10-9
Scoring 5+ Runs 18-3

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