Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees 6/30/19: Starting Lineups, Matchup Preview, Betting Odds
Contents
TV & Radio Section
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees, 6/30/19 10:10 AM ET London Stadium, London, TV: Boston (ESPM), New York (ESPN) Radio: Boston (WEEI 93.7, WCCM 1490 AM/103.7 FM), New York (WFAN 660/101.9 FM, WADO 1280)
Matchup Preview
The Yankees and Red Sox are making history in this two game series by being the first MLB teams to play games in Europe. The MLB entered a two year agreement to play games in London in 2019 and 2020 in an effort to gain more fandom in Europe. MLB games have previously been played in Australia, Canada, Japan, Mexico, Puerto Rico, and of course the contiguous United States. China has housed pre-season games before as well. However, there’s never been a game in Europe, a market the MLB hopes to conquer.
Yesterday’s matchup lived up to expectations, finishing with a total of 30 runs and 16 different pitchers taking the mound throughout the course of the game. The Yankees emerged victorious 17-13, but the two teams will be right back at it at 10:10 AM EST on 6/30. The first game was a success in that all 56,659 seats were sold out, but an estimated 40,000 were Americans, per USA Today.
In today’s matchup, Eduardo Rodriguez gets the go for the Red Sox. He’s 8-4 on the year with an ERA of 4.87. He’s 5-4 through 14 starts against the Yankees in his five year career. Unfortunately, there’s no data to suggest how he pitches at London Stadium. Even though the Red Sox are considered the home team in this series, we’ll look at his 2019 away numbers. He’s 5-3 in games not played at Fenway this year with an ERA of 5.22, averaging 8.8 strikeouts per 9 innings.
Stephen Tarpley will be the opener in today’s game. He has a 6.48 ERA on the year with 12 Ks through 8.1 innings pitched. He hasn’t faced the Red Sox yet this year, but in 3.0 innings pitched against them in 2018 he fanned 7 and let up 0 hits/runs, but walked 3. We could see Chance Adams or Luis Cessa as the bulk reliever following Tarpley’s open.
Boston Red Sox Starting Lineup
1. Mookie Betts (R) RF
2. Andrew Benintendi (L) LF
3. J.D. Martinez (R) DH
4. Rafael Devers (L) 3B
5. Xander Bogaerts (R) SS
6. Brock Holt (L) 2B
7. Michael Chavis (R) 1B
8. Jackie Bradley Jr. (L) CF
9. Christian Vazquez C (R)
SP. Eduardo Rodriguez (L) 8-4
Red Sox Analysis
The biggest problem with the Red Sox this year isn’t necessarily something they can control — it’s their division competitors. The Yankees and Rays have pieced together a nice first half of the season thus far, and it’s seeming to be increasingly difficult for the Sox to claw their way back into the top of the division. Yesterday’s loss against the Yankees certainly didn’t help, and the Red Sox are currently 10.0 games back in the AL East.
The Red Sox put up a staggering 18 hits in yesterday’s contest, but it wasn’t enough to match the even bigger bats of the Yankees. Bradley Jr. finished the day with 4 hits, and Martinez had 3. Of those 18 hits, 3 were long balls, which is helpful when the MLB is trying to market the excitement of baseball in a new place. The Red Sox lineup doesn’t have much experience against Tarpley, but of those who have faced him, no one has posted a hit. No current Red Sock has had more than two ABs against the left-hander.
Rodriguez’s last go finished in a no-decision. He went 6.1 innings against the White Sox, giving up 6 hits and 5 earned runs. I want to say he will have to do better than that to expect to emerge victorious in today’s game, but if yesterday is any indication, 5 runs will be nowhere near enough to win this ball game.
New York Yankees Starting Lineup
1. DJ LeMahieu (R) 2B
2. Luke Voit (R) 1B
3. Aaron Hicks (S) CF
4. Gary Sanchez (R) C
5. Gleyber Torres (R) SS
6. Edwin Encarnacion (R) DH
7. Gio Urshela (R) 3B
8. Cameron Maybin (R) RF
9. Brett Gardner (L) LF
S.P. Stephen Tarpley (L) 0-0
Yankees Analysis
The Yankees have been playing incredible baseball all year. They’re 9-1 in their last 10, and have an ultra-impressive record of 53-28 (.654 winning percentage) on the year. They put up 19 hits in yesterday’s contest and got the win with 17 runs.
Voit and LeMahieu both had 4 hits yesterday. The two of them combined for 6 RBIs. With the Yankees hitting 3 long balls of their own, that made for 6 total in the game. It became clear early on that it was going to be a battle of the bats much more than a pitcher’s duel, and the Yankees just did a better job at the plate.
In the interest of giving Sabathia and Happ extended rest, Tarpley will open this game. He’s pitched 8.1 innings on the year so far and has allowed 6 earned runs. His 12 punch-outs on the year to his 5 walks give him a SO/W ratio of 2.4. As mentioned before, Chance Adams or Luis Cessa will likely come in after Tarpley to be the bulk reliever.
Red Sox vs. Yankees Betting Odds
The line opened at/is currently BOS +100 NYY -120 with the over/under set at 16. In terms of a ML bet, I have to go with the Yankees. Sometimes all we can do in gambling is follow trends, and the trends 100% point to the Yankees winning this one. The over/under was set at 11 for yesterday’s matchup and the over hit just 5 outs into the game. Oddsmakers have adjusted and set it at a more challenging 16 for today’s showdown. I’m going to go with the idea that lighting won’t strike twice, and the final will end well under 16 runs.
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