Boston Red Sox Vs. New York Yankees (7/16/22) Starting Lineup, Odds, Prediction
In 2021 the Boston Red Sox won 92 games and fell two games short of reaching the World Series, losing to the Houston Astros in the American League Championship Series. Boston is 47-43 in 90 games of the 2022 season: third place in the American League East. They are +7500 to win the AL East this season; their last division title was 2018. The Red Sox are +3000 to win their fifth World Series since 2000.
New York is 62-27 through 89 games this season, first place in the American League East, -5000 to win the division; they’ve won the AL East once since 2013. The Yankees at +400 (tied with the Los Angeles Dodgers) are the favorite to win their first World Series since 2009 when they beat the Philadelphia Phillies; New York has won a major league record 27 World Series titles.
Boston Red Sox Vs. New York Yankees Odds
Red Sox Moneyline:
Boston is 0-5 in their last five during game two of a series. Under is 3-0-1 in Nick Pivetta’s last 4 Saturday starts for the Red Sox. Over is 6-0 in Pivetta’s last six starts vs. American League East foes. The Red Sox are 0-4 in their last four vs. a team with a winning record.
The Yankees are 40-13 in their last 53 during game two of a series. Over is 6-1 in New York’s last seven games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 6-2-1 in the Yankees last nine home games vs. a team with a winning record. New York is 82-39 in their last 121 Saturday games.
Boston Red Sox Starting Lineup
CF J. Duran L
3B R. Devers L
DH J. Martinez R
SS X. Bogaerts R
LF A. Verdugo L
2B T. Story R
1B F. Cordero L
C C. Vazquez R
RF J. Bradley L
Boston Red Sox Vs. Jameson Taillon (R)
This year, Rafael Devers leads the Red Sox in hitting with a .327 batting average. Additionally, he leads the team in hits (110), home runs (20), slugging percentage (.595), OPS (.978) and total bases (200). The 25-year-old has driven in 52 runs, while scoring 60 runs in 2022. Devers was selected as the starting third baseman for the American League All-Star squad for the second straight year. He’s +1700 to win the 2022 American League MVP.
Trevor Story in first season with the Red Sox (switching from shortstop to second base), has hit 17 doubles, 15 home runs (second on the team) and leads Boston in runs batted in with 58. He has 130 total bases with a .423 slugging percentage and an OPS of .713 in his first season in Boston. Named to his fourth All-Star team, Xander Bogaerts is hitting .317 with 24 doubles, seven home run, 37 runs batted in with 146 total bases. He also has a .458 slugging percentage with an OPS of .830 in 2022.
Alex Verdugo played in 146 games last season, batting .289 with 13 home runs and 63 runs batted in. Verdugo has hit six home runs with 48 runs batted in and 124 total bases. He has a slugging percentage of .383 with an OPS of .696 in 2022. Spending most of his time as Boston’s designated hitter in the 2021 season, J.D. Martinez hit .286 with 28 home runs and 99 runs batted in. In 2022, Martinez is hitting .306 with 29 doubles, nine home runs, 38 runs batted in with 150 total bases.
Jameson Taillon is 9-2 in 17 starts with an ERA of 4.01 this season. In 94 1/3 innings, he has struck out 77 batters, allowed 42 runs with a 1.177 WHIP in 2022. The sixth-year veteran has won 46 games in his career with an ERA of 3.84, 633 strikeouts in 704 2/3 innings pitched.
New York Yankees Starting Lineup
1B D.J. LeMahieu R
CF A. Judge R
DH A. Rizzo L
RF G. Stanton R
3B J. Donaldson R
2B G. Torres R
SS I. Kiner-Falefa R
C J. Trevino R
LF J. Gallo L
New York Yankees Vs. Nick Pivetta (R)
In the 2021 season, Aaron Judge played in 148 games, belting 39 home runs, driving in 98 runs with an OPS of .916. This season he leads the majors in home runs (31) and second in total bases with 198. Additionally, he’s second in slugging percentage (.606) and fifth in OPS (.964) while his 66 runs batted in are fifth in MLB. The 30-year-old leads the club with a .278 batting average. Judge is +165 to win the 2022 American League MVP. He’ll be starting in the outfield for the American League All-Stars on Tuesday in Los Angeles.
Giancarlo Stanton hit .273, slamming 35 home runs and driving in 97 runs in 2021. In his fifth season as a Yankee, the 32-year-old has hit 23 home runs (second on the club), knocked in 58 runs, accumulated 137 total bases with a .818 OPS and a .506 slugging percentage in 2022. This Tuesday at Dodger Stadium will mark the first time Stanton has started the All-Star Game since he joined the Yankees following the 2017 season, and the second time he’s won the fan vote.
Anthony Rizzo has slammed 22 home runs this season (third on the Yankees) while knocking in 57 runs with 148 total bases in 2022. The first baseman has a .502 slugging percentage with an OPS of .836 this year.
Gleyber Torres has hit 14 home runs and driven in 40 runs this season for New York. The second baseman is hitting .273 with 138 total bases and a .496 slugging percentage. Since joining the Yankees at the end of May, infielder Matt Carpenter is hitting .338 while belting 11 home runs in only 68 at-bats. The ex-Cardinal has also driven in 24 runs with a .868 slugging percentage and an OPS of 1.319 in 2022.
Jose Trevino in his first season with the Yankees, will be making his first All-Star appearance this week in Los Angeles. The catcher is hitting .255 with seven home runs, 27 runs batted in with a .424 slugging percentage and an OPS of .728 this season.
Nick Pivetta is 8-6 in 18 starts with an ERA of 4.08 this season. In 103 2/3 innings, he has struck out 100 batters, allowed 47 runs with a 1.215 WHIP in 2022. The sixth-year veteran has won 38 games in his career with an ERA of 4.99 in 665 innings pitched with 709 strikeouts.
Boston Red Sox Vs. New York Yankees Prediction
The Red Sox are averaging 4.73 runs per nine innings, sixth in the majors, third in batting average at .259 and an OPS of .734, seventh in the big leagues. Boston’s pitching staff is allowing 4.27 runs per nine innings, 15thin Major League Baseball and foes are hitting .237 against the Red Sox: 11th in the big leagues.
Offensively, the Yankees are scoring 5.24 runs per nine innings, first overall in MLB. They have a team batting average of .243, 15th in the league, and their OPS is .768, first in baseball. New York’s pitching staff is allowing 3.26 runs per nine innings, first in MLB with opponents’ batting .216 with an OPS of .628 against the club, second in the big leagues in both categories.
I’ll go with the Yankees in this game as they are the highest scoring club in the big leagues while the Red Sox are in the top of half of the majors in runs allowed per game, which has kept them in the hunt for a postseason berth in 2022. New York covers the 1.5 run spread as the AL East rivals combine for under 8.5 runs in the Bronx