Boston Red Sox Vs. New York Yankees (7/17/22) Starting Lineup, Betting Odds, Prediction

Boston is 48-43 in 91 games of the 2022 season: third place in the American League East.  They are +7000 to win the AL East this season; their last division title was 2018.  The Red Sox are +3500 to win their fifth World Series since 2000; their last title was 2018.

New York is 62-28 through 90 games this season, first place in the American League East, -3500 to win the division; they’ve won the AL East once since 2013. The Yankees at +400 (tied with the Los Angeles Dodgers) are the favorite to win their first World Series since 2009; New York has won a major league record 27 World Series titles. 

Boston Red Sox Vs. New York Yankees Betting Odds

Through their first 68 games against right-handed pitching, the Red Sox are 32-36.  The Yankees are 20-8 in their first 28 games against left-handed starters.  Boston has won 12 out their first 36 games against division opponents.  In their first 43 games against American League East foes, New York is 28-15.  The Red Sox have won 25 out of their first 48 games on the road in 2022.  Playing at Yankee Stadium this year the Yankees are 35-12 through their first 47 games.

Boston Red Sox Starting Lineup

CF J. Duran L
3B R. Devers L
DH J. Martinez R
SS X. Bogaerts R
LF A. Verdugo L
2B Jeter Downs R
1B F. Cordero L
C C. Vazquez R
RF J. Bradley L

Boston Red Sox Vs. Gerrit Cole (R)

An All-Star starter for a second straight season, Rafael Devers leads Boston in hitting with a .326 batting average.  Additionally, he leads the team in hits (111), home runs (21), slugging percentage (.600), OPS (.983) and total bases (204).  The 25-year-old has driven in 54 runs, while scoring 61 runs in 2022.   Devers is +1800 to win the 2022 American League MVP.

Second baseman. Trevor Story (a former shortstop) in first season as a Red Sox, has hit 17 doubles, 15 home runs (second on the team) and leads Boston in runs batted in with 58.  He’s a hand injury and he’s questionable for Sunday.  Xander Bogaerts, now a four-time All-Star is hitting .318 with 24 doubles, seven home run, 37 runs batted in with 148 total bases.  He also has a .457 slugging percentage with an OPS of .849 in 2022.

Alex Verdugo played in 146 games last season, batting .289 with 13 home runs and 63 runs batted in.  Verdugo has hit six home runs with 48 runs batted in and 124 total bases.  He has a slugging percentage of .377 with an OPS of .686 in 2022. 

Spending most of his time as Boston’s designated hitter J.D. Martinez is hitting .308 with 30 doubles (leads the Red Sox), nine home runs, 38 runs batted in with 153 total bases. 

Christian Vazquez is hitting .279 through his first 280 at-bats of the season.  He’s hit six home runs, knocked in 36 runs with 106 total bases this year.  Additionally, he has a slugging percentage of .422 and an OPS of .746 in 2022.

Gerrit Cole is 8-2 in 18 starts with an ERA of 3.05 in 2022.  The now five-time All-Star has pitched 106 1/3 innings, striking out 135 batters while allowing 36 runs with a WHIP of 1.006 this year.  In his third season with the Yankees, he’s 31-13 with an ERA of 3.09 and 472 strikeouts.

New York Yankees Starting Lineup

1B D.J. LeMahieu R
CF A. Judge R
DH A. Rizzo L
RF G. Stanton R
3B J. Donaldson R
2B G. Torres R
SS I. Kiner-Falefa R
C J. Trevino R
LF J. Gallo L

New York Yankees Vs. Chris Sale (L)

In the 2021 season, Aaron Judge played in 148 games, belting 39 home runs, driving in 98 runs with an OPS of .916.  This season he leads the majors in home runs (31) and third in total bases with 198.  Additionally, he’s fourth in slugging percentage (.596) and fifth in OPS (.950) while his 66 runs batted in are fifth in MLB.  The 30-year-old leads the club with a .274 batting average.  Judge is +165 to win the 2022 American League MVP.  He’ll be starting in the outfield for the American League All-Stars on Tuesday in Los Angeles.

In his fifth season as a Yankee, Giancarlo Stanton has hit 24 home runs (second on the club), knocked in 61 runs, accumulated 142 total bases with a .829 OPS and a .514 slugging percentage in 2022.  This Tuesday at Dodger Stadium will mark the first time the 32-year-old has started the All-Star Game since he joined the Yankees following the 2017 season, and the second time he’s won the fan vote.

Anthony Rizzo has slammed 22 home runs this season (third on the Yankees) while knocking in 57 runs with 148 total bases this year.  The first baseman has a .497 slugging percentage with an OPS of .832 in 2022.  Gleyber Torres has hit 14 home runs and driven in 40 runs this season for New York.  The second baseman is hitting .273 with 139 total bases and a .493 slugging percentage.  Matt Carpenter has been awesome for the Yankees signing with the club in May.  The infielder is hitting .352 while belting 11 home runs in only 71 at-bats.  The 36-year-old has knocked in 24 runs with a .873 slugging percentage and an OPS of 1.338 in 2022.

Jose Trevino in his first campaign with New York, will be making his first All-Star appearance this week in Los Angeles.  The catcher is hitting .253 with seven home runs, 27 runs batted in with a .422 slugging percentage and an OPS of .723 this season.

Chris Sale will be making his second start of the season on Sunday.  This past Tuesday he made his season debut against Tampa tossing five innings, striking out five and not allowing a run; against the Rays he averaged 95.1 mph with his fastball.  In 21 career games against the Yankees, Sale is 6-8 with an ERA of 2.98, 157 strikeouts in 120 2/3 innings.

Boston Red Sox Vs. New York Yankees Picks & Prediction

The Red Sox are averaging 4.73 runs per nine innings, sixth in the majors, third in batting average at .259 and an OPS of .734, seventh in the big leagues.  Boston’s pitching staff is allowing 4.27 runs per nine innings, 15thin Major League Baseball and foes are hitting .237 against the Red Sox: 11th in the big leagues. 

Offensively, the Yankees are scoring 5.24 runs per nine innings, first overall in MLB.  They have a team batting average of .243, 15th in the league, and their OPS is .768, first in baseball.  New York’s pitching staff is allowing 3.26 runs per nine innings, first in MLB with opponents’ batting .216 with an OPS of .628 against the club, second in the big leagues in both categories.

New York has the highest scoring offense in baseball while Boston’s offense is no slouch, as they’re a top 10 offensive squad in baseball putting up close to five runs a game, but Sunday should be a game where the focus will be on pitching.  Gerrit Cole has a 2.03 ERA at home this season while Chris Sale looked good in his first start of the season: shutting down Tampa in five innings earlier this week.  I’m going to take the Yankees in a low scoring game, in which they don’t cover the 1.5 run spread as the clubs combine for under eight runs.    

Scott has been a sports fan since he received a New York Mets jacket as a toddler. He’s been playing fantasy baseball and football for over 20 years, dating back to Frank Thomas being one of his first fantasy baseball picks. As a professional, he has covered the NFL, MLB, NCAAF, and NCAAB and is looked to as the go-to guy for fantasy sports amongst family, friends, and co-workers.

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