Predictions for Braves vs. Marlins: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – Aug. 4

By Lineups Staff | Aug 04, 2024, 11:14am | Updated: 3 weeks ago

Sunday’s game between the Atlanta Braves (60-50) and the Miami Marlins (41-70) at Truist Park has a projected final score of 4-3 based on our computer prediction, with the Braves coming out on top. First pitch is at 1:35 PM on August 4.

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Contents

Braves vs. Marlins Matchup Info

When: Sunday, August 4, 2024 at 1:35 PM ET
Where: Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia
How to Watch on TV: BSSE
Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster

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Braves vs. Marlins Predictions

Score Prediction: Braves 4, Marlins 3
Total Prediction: Under 8 runs

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Braves vs. Marlins Betting Lines

Braves vs Marlins Betting Information
Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds
Braves	-245	+200	8	-118	-102

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Braves Betting Insights

Atlanta has come away with 53 wins in the 92 contests it has been listed as the favorite in this season.
This season, the Braves have been victorious nine times in 12 chances when named as a favorite of at least -245 or shorter on the moneyline.
Atlanta’s games have gone over the total in 37 of 110 opportunities.
The Braves were the moneyline favorite in nine of their past 15 games, and they finished 4-5 in those matchups.
In its past 15 outings, Atlanta and its opponents combined to go over the run total six times (all 15 games had set totals).

Marlins Betting Insights

Miami has won 37 of the 94 games it was the moneyline underdog this season (39.4%).
The Marlins have gone 3-8 when they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +200 or longer (27.3%).
In the 111 games oddsmakers have set an over/under for Miami, it has combined with opponents to go over the total 59 times (59-48-4).
In 15 games over their past 15 matchups when set as underdogs by oddsmakers, the Marlins had a record of 8-7.
In its past 15 games with a total, Miami and its opponents have failed to hit the over six times.

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Braves vs. Marlins Probable Pitchers

Braves’ Starting Pitcher: Max Fried

The 30-year-old has pitched in 18 games this season with an ERA of 3.08, a 2.79 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.157.
Max Fried’s team has won 64.7% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (11-6).
In games Fried has started, his team is 12-6.
Out of Fried’s 18 starts with a total this season, five have hit the over.

Marlins’ Starting Pitcher: Edward Cabrera

The 26-year-old has amassed an ERA of 6.65, with 11.6 strikeouts per nine innings in 10 games this season. Opponents have a .247 batting average against him.
The Marlins have a 3-4 record in Cabrera’s seven starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
Cabrera’s team has compiled a 5-5 record over his 10 starts.
Edward Cabrera has started 10 contests with a total set by sportsbooks this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in nine of them.

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Braves’ 2024 Performance

Split	Record
Overall	60-50
Home	32-22
Road	28-28
One-Run Games	11-15
Scoring 5+ Runs	40-9

Marlins’ 2024 Performance

Split	Record
Overall	41-70
Home	22-34
Road	19-36
One-Run Games	17-15
Scoring 5+ Runs	23-13

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