Predictions for Braves vs. Phillies: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – July 5

By Lineups Staff | Aug 23, 2024, 10:23am

Friday’s contest that pits the Atlanta Braves (47-38) versus the Philadelphia Phillies (57-30) at Truist Park is expected to be a competitive matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 4-3 in favor of the Braves. First pitch is at 7:20 PM ET on July 5.

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Contents

Braves vs. Phillies Matchup Info

When: Friday, July 5, 2024 at 7:20 PM ET
Where: Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia
How to Watch on TV: Apple TV+
Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster

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Braves vs. Phillies Predictions

Score Prediction: Braves 4, Phillies 3
Total Prediction: Under 7.5 runs

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Braves vs. Phillies Betting Lines

Braves vs Phillies Betting Information
Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds
Braves	-135	+114	7.5	-102	-118

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Braves Betting Insights

Atlanta has been chosen as the favorite in 76 games this year, and has walked away with the win 44 times (57.9%) in those games.
This season, the Braves have been victorious 37 times in 60 chances when named as a favorite of at least -135 or shorter on the moneyline.
Atlanta and its opponents have hit the over in 27 of 85 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
The Braves were favored on the moneyline in 13 of their past 15 games, and they finished 7-6 in those matchups.
Over its past 15 outings — all had a set run total — Atlanta and its opponents combined to hit the over on the total two times.

Phillies Betting Insights

Philadelphia has gone 7-7 in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 50% of those games).
The Phillies have a record of 3-2 when they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +114 or longer (60%).
Philadelphia has played in 87 games with an over/under set, and it has combined with its opponents to go over the total 39 times (39-43-5).
In the past 15 games, the Phillies have been underdogs just once and won that contest.
In its past 15 games with a total, Philadelphia and its opponents have combined to hit the over seven times.

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Braves vs. Phillies Probable Pitchers

Braves’ Starting Pitcher: Max Fried

The 30-year-old has pitched to a 2.91 ERA this season with 7.9 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 2.8 walks per nine across 16 games.
When Max Fried starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 11-4.
Fried’s team is 12-4 when he starts this season.
In games Fried has started this season, the teams are 4-11-1 at hitting the over.

Phillies’ Starting Pitcher: Aaron Nola

The 31-year-old has a 3.43 ERA and 8.3 strikeouts per nine innings over 17 games this season, while allowing a batting average of .217 to his opponents.
The Phillies were named the moneyline underdog for two Aaron Nola starts this season — they lost both.
Nola’s team has a 13-4 record in his starts this season.
Nola has started 17 contests with a total set by oddsmakers this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in seven of them.

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Braves’ 2024 Performance

Split	Record
Overall	47-38
Home	27-16
Road	20-22
One-Run Games	9-12
Scoring 5+ Runs	30-6

Phillies’ 2024 Performance

Split	Record
Overall	57-30
Home	33-14
Road	24-16
One-Run Games	13-10
Scoring 5+ Runs	40-5

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