Predictions for Braves vs. Phillies: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – July 6

Saturday’s contest between the Atlanta Braves (47-39) and the Philadelphia Phillies (58-30) at Truist Park should be a competitive matchup, as our computer prediction projects a final score of 5-4, with the Braves coming out on top. Game time is at 7:15 PM ET on July 6.

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Braves vs. Phillies Matchup Info

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Braves vs. Phillies Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Braves 5, Phillies 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8 runs

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Braves vs. Phillies Betting Lines

Braves vs Phillies Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Braves -120 +100 8 -115 -105

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Braves Betting Insights

  • Atlanta has been victorious in 44, or 57.1%, of the 77 contests it has been chosen as the favorite in this season.
  • This season, the Braves have been victorious 42 times in 75 chances when named as a favorite of at least -120 or shorter on the moneyline.
  • Contests involving Atlanta have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 28 of 86 chances this season.
  • The Braves played as the moneyline favorite in 13 of their past 15 games, and they went 6-7 in those matchups.
  • Over its past 15 outings — all had a set run total — Atlanta and its opponents combined to hit the over on the total three times.

Phillies Betting Insights

  • Philadelphia is 8-7 in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 53.3% of those games).
  • The Phillies have a record of 5-6 in games they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +100 or longer (45.5%).
  • Philadelphia has combined with opponents to go over the total 40 times this season for a 40-43-5 record against the over/under.
  • In the past 15 games, the Phillies have been underdogs twice and won both contests.
  • In its past 15 games with a total, Philadelphia and its opponents have combined to hit the over eight times.

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Braves vs. Phillies Probable Pitchers

Braves’ Starting Pitcher: Spencer Schwellenbach

  • The 24-year-old has pitched in six games this season with a 5.68 ERA and 9.1 strikeouts per nine innings with a batting average against of .260.
  • Spencer Schwellenbach’s team has won 25% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (1-3).
  • Schwellenbach’s team has a 1-5 record in his starts this season.
  • Games started by Schwellenbach have a 1-5-0 record at hitting the over this season.

Phillies’ Starting Pitcher: Ranger Suárez

  • In 17 games this season, the 28-year-old has an ERA of 2.27, with 8.7 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are batting .214 against him.
  • The Phillies were named the moneyline underdog for three Ranger Suarez starts this season — they won all of the games.
  • Suarez’s team is 14-3 in his 17 starts.
  • Suarez has had 17 starts with a set total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in six of those games.

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Braves’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 47-39
Home 27-17
Road 20-22
One-Run Games 9-12
Scoring 5+ Runs 30-7

Phillies’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 58-30
Home 33-14
Road 25-16
One-Run Games 13-10
Scoring 5+ Runs 41-5

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