Predictions for Braves vs. Pirates: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – June 30

Sunday’s contest features the Atlanta Braves (46-35) and the Pittsburgh Pirates (39-43) clashing at Truist Park (on June 30) at 11:35 AM. This matchup, according to our computer prediction, will result in a 5-4 win for the Braves.

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Braves vs. Pirates Matchup Info

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Braves vs. Pirates Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Braves 5, Pirates 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 9 runs

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Braves vs. Pirates Betting Lines

Braves vs Pirates Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Braves -200 +164 9 -115 -105

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Braves Betting Insights

  • Atlanta has been the favorite in 72 games this season, and has come away with the win 43 times (59.7%) in those contests.
  • The Braves have a mark of 20-7 in contests where sportsbooks favor them by -200 or better on the moneyline.
  • Atlanta and its opponents have gone over in 27 of 81 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Braves went 9-4 across the 13 games in which they were moneyline favorites in their past 15 matchups.
  • In its past 15 matchups — all had a set run total — Atlanta and its opponents combined to hit the over on the total five times.

Pirates Betting Insights

  • Pittsburgh has gone 21-24 in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 46.7% of those games).
  • The Pirates have played three times as a moneyline underdog with odds of +164 or longer, and fell in each game.
  • Pittsburgh has played in 82 games with a set over/under, and it has combined with its opponents to go over the total 37 times (37-41-4).
  • In seven games as underdogs in their past 15 matchups, the Pirates have a record of 2-5.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, Pittsburgh and its opponents are 4-11-0 in its past 15 games with a total.

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Braves vs. Pirates Probable Pitchers

Braves’ Starting Pitcher: Spencer Schwellenbach

  • The 24-year-old has an ERA of 5.40, a 3.57 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.275 in five games this season.
  • Spencer Schwellenbach’s team is 1-2 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
  • Schwellenbach’s team has a 1-4 record in his starts this season.
  • In games Schwellenbach has started this season, the teams are 1-4-0 at hitting the over.

Pirates’ Starting Pitcher: Bailey Falter

  • In 15 games this season, the 27-year-old has a 4.00 ERA and 5.8 strikeouts per nine innings, while allowing a batting average of .239 to opposing hitters.
  • The Pirates are 5-8 in Falter’s 13 starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • Falter’s team has a 6-9 record in his starts this season.
  • Bailey Falter has had 15 starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in seven of those outings.

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Braves’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 46-35
Home 26-13
Road 20-22
One-Run Games 9-12
Scoring 5+ Runs 30-6

Pirates’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 39-43
Home 19-20
Road 20-23
One-Run Games 14-13
Scoring 5+ Runs 24-6

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