Predictions for Braves vs. Rays: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – June 14

Friday’s game at Truist Park has the Atlanta Braves (36-30) taking on the Tampa Bay Rays (33-36) at 7:20 PM. Our computer prediction projects a 4-3 win for the Braves, who are a small favorite based on our model.

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Braves vs. Rays Matchup Info

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Braves vs. Rays Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Braves 4, Rays 3
  • Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs

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Braves vs. Rays Betting Lines

Braves vs Rays Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Braves -227 +185 8.5 -108 -112

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Braves Betting Insights

  • Atlanta has been the favorite in 59 games this season, and has come away with the win 34 times (57.6%) in those contests.
  • The Braves have a win-loss record of 11-3 when favored by -227 or better by oddsmakers this year.
  • Atlanta and its opponents have hit the over in 22 of 66 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Braves went 5-7 over the 12 games in which they were favored on the moneyline in their past 15 matchups.
  • Over its past 15 matchups, Atlanta and its opponents combined to hit the over five times (all 15 of the games had set totals).

Rays Betting Insights

  • Tampa Bay has been the moneyline underdog 26 total times this season. It has finished 10-16 in those games.
  • The Rays have yet to play a game with moneyline odds of +185 or longer.
  • Tampa Bay has played in 69 games with an over/under set, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total 34 times (34-34-1).
  • The Rays have played as underdogs in seven of their past 15 games and won one of those contests.
  • In its past 15 games with a total, Tampa Bay and its opponents have combined to hit the over six times.

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Braves vs. Rays Probable Pitchers

Braves’ Starting Pitcher: Chris Sale

  • The 35-year-old has an ERA of 3.01 and 11.1 strikeouts per nine innings, with a batting average against of .211 in 12 games this season.
  • Chris Sale’s team is 8-4 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
  • Sale’s team has won eight of his 12 starts this season.
  • In games Sale has started this season, the teams are 4-7-1 at hitting the over.

Rays’ Starting Pitcher: Zack Littell

  • In 13 games this season, the 28-year-old has an ERA of 3.63, with 8.4 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are hitting .280 against him.
  • The Rays have been the moneyline underdog in four of Littell’s starts this season, and they went 2-2 in those matchups.
  • Littell’s team is 6-7 over his 13 starts.
  • Zack Littell has had 13 starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to go over the total in six of those games.

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Braves’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 36-30
Home 19-12
Road 17-18
One-Run Games 6-10
Scoring 5+ Runs 24-5

Rays’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 33-36
Home 19-23
Road 14-13
One-Run Games 13-5
Scoring 5+ Runs 20-5

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