Predictions for Brewers vs. Cubs: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – June 28

Friday’s game that pits the Milwaukee Brewers (48-33) against the Chicago Cubs (38-44) at American Family Field has a projected final score of 5-4 (based on our computer prediction) in favor of the Brewers, who are slightly favored in this matchup according to our model. Game time is at 8:10 PM on June 28.

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Brewers vs. Cubs Matchup Info

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Brewers vs. Cubs Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Brewers 5, Cubs 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs

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Brewers vs. Cubs Betting Lines

Brewers vs Cubs Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Brewers -135 +114 8.5 -115 -105

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Brewers Betting Insights

  • Milwaukee has won 26, or 63.4%, of the 41 contests it has been named as the odds-on favorite in this year.
  • The Brewers have a win-loss record of 16-7 when favored by -135 or better by sportsbooks this year.
  • Milwaukee and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 44 of 81 opportunities.
  • The Brewers were the moneyline favorite in nine of their past 15 games, and they finished 6-3 in those matchups.
  • Over its past 15 outings, Milwaukee and its opponents combined to go over the run total seven times (all 15 of the games had set totals).

Cubs Betting Insights

  • Chicago has won 43.9% of the games this season it was the moneyline underdog (18-23).
  • The Cubs are 8-6 (winning 57.1% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of +114 or longer.
  • Chicago has had an over/under set by oddsmakers 82 times, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total in 34 of those games (34-44-4).
  • In four games over their past 15 matchups when set as underdogs by bookmakers, the Cubs had a record of 2-2.
  • In its past 15 games with a total, Chicago and its opponents have failed to hit the over 11 times.

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Brewers vs. Cubs Probable Pitchers

Brewers’ Starting Pitcher: Colin Rea

  • The 33-year-old has pitched to a 3.62 ERA this season with 5.9 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 2.9 walks per nine across 15 games.
  • Colin Rea’s team has won 80% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (4-1).
  • Rea’s team has won nine of his 13 starts.
  • In games Rea has started this season, the teams are 8-5-0 at hitting the over.

Cubs’ Starting Pitcher: Jameson Taillon

  • The 32-year-old has an ERA of 2.90, with 7 strikeouts per nine innings in 12 games this season. Opponents have a .264 batting average against him.
  • The Cubs have been the underdog on the moneyline in six of Taillon’s starts this season, and they went 3-3 in those matchups.
  • Taillon’s team has won six of his 12 starts.
  • Taillon’s starts with a set total this season have hit the over in five of 12 games.

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Brewers’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 48-33
Home 25-12
Road 23-21
One-Run Games 14-12
Scoring 5+ Runs 33-7

Cubs’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 38-44
Home 22-18
Road 16-26
One-Run Games 14-19
Scoring 5+ Runs 26-7

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