Predictions for Pirates vs. Brewers: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – July 10

Wednesday’s game that pits the Milwaukee Brewers (53-39) versus the Pittsburgh Pirates (44-47) at American Family Field has a good chance to be a close matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 5-4 in favor of the Brewers. First pitch is at 8:10 PM ET on July 10.

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Pirates vs. Brewers Matchup Info

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Pirates vs. Brewers Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Brewers 5, Pirates 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8 runs

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Pirates vs. Brewers Betting Lines

Pirates vs Brewers Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Pirates -135 +114 8 -102 -118

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Pirates Betting Insights

  • Pittsburgh has been chosen as the favorite in 39 games this year, and has walked away with the win 20 times (51.3%) in those games.
  • This year, the Pirates have won eight of 16 games when listed as at least -135 or better on the moneyline.
  • Pittsburgh and its opponents have hit the over in 42 of 91 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Pirates went 3-2 over the five games in which they were favored on the moneyline in their past 15 matchups.
  • In its past 15 outings, Pittsburgh and its opponents combined to go over the run total seven times (all 15 of the games had set totals).

Brewers Betting Insights

  • Milwaukee has won 22 of the 42 games it was the moneyline underdog this season (52.4%).
  • The Brewers are 9-10 (winning 47.4% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of +114 or longer.
  • Milwaukee has combined with opponents to hit the over on the total 49 times this season for a 49-38-5 record against the over/under.
  • The Brewers have played as underdogs in six of their past 15 games and won four of those contests.
  • In its past 15 games with a total, Milwaukee and its opponents have combined to hit the over eight times.

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Pirates vs. Brewers Probable Pitchers

Pirates’ Starting Pitcher: Martín Pérez

  • The 33-year-old has an ERA of 4.85, a 2.36 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.558 in 13 games this season.
  • Martin Perez’s team has a record of 1-4 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
  • Pérez’s team has won four of his 13 starts this season.
  • In games Perez has started this season, the teams are 6-6-1 at hitting the over.

Brewers’ Starting Pitcher: Tobias Myers

  • The 25-year-old has an ERA of 3.52, with 7.9 strikeouts per nine innings in 13 games this season. Opponents have a .241 batting average against him.
  • The Brewers have been the moneyline underdog in six of Myers’ starts this season, and they went 3-3 in those matchups.
  • Myers’ team has won six of his 12 starts.
  • Tobias Myers has had 12 starts that sportsbooks set a total for this season, and six of those games finished over the total.

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Pirates’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 44-47
Home 22-24
Road 22-23
One-Run Games 15-15
Scoring 5+ Runs 28-6

Brewers’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 53-39
Home 27-14
Road 26-25
One-Run Games 15-14
Scoring 5+ Runs 35-9

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