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The 6-2 Bills are heading to Cleveland to face the 2-6 Browns on Sunday. The Bills have been looking like a strong team this season. They’ve had a solid defense, especially against the pass where they rank top 5 in a lot of stats like yards per attempt, passer rating allowed, and completion percentage. Their offense has also looked good with Josh Allen proving himself a good quarterback, and their run game really flourishing with Gore and Singletary making waves in the backfield. The Browns, on the other hand, have not lived up to their offseason hype in the slightest. They’ve had a strong run game, but problems at quarterback have led them to a one-sided offense that hasn’t been incredibly effective this season. I’m expecting a run heavy game this Sunday, and I think the Bills are going to come out on top due to their stronger defense. Click here for more details and betting information on the Bills @ Browns matchup.
Date: Sunday, November 10th, 2019
Time: 10:00 AM PST
Location: FirstEnergy Stadium, Cleveland, OH
Bills: Maurice Alexander (O), Kurt Coleman (Q), Harrison Phillips (O)
Browns: Olivier Vernon (Q), Kendall Lamm (Q), Pharaoh Brown (Q), Damarious Randall (Q), Eric Murray (Q), Greg Robinson (Q), Ricky Seals-Jones (Q)
Buffalo Bills Analysis
The Bills have been a good offense this year. Singletary had a big game in week 9 against the Redskins. He had 20 carries for 95 yards and 1 touchdown, an average of 4.8 yards per carry. On the year, Singletary has 267 yards, 2 touchdowns, and an average of 6.7 yards per carry. He’s been affected by injuries this year limiting his stats, but it’s clear that he’s now healthy enough to be trusted with a lot of carries. The Browns allow 141.3 yards per carry on the ground, which is the 3rd highest in the league. Singletary is coming off of week 9 hot, and is going to be looking to continue that hot streak against a forgiving Browns rush defense. Their passing game hasn’t been as strong, but Josh Allen has still been pretty solid. He has 10 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, 1,653 yards and a passer rating of 82.9. The Browns are more solid in their passing defense, and therefore I’m expecting this to be a run-heavy game for the Bills.
The Bills have been a great defense this year, and have an especially impressive resume against the pass. They allow the 3rd fewest passing yards per game with 184.6, the 3rd lowest rating with 74.8, the 3rd fewest yards per attempt with 6.1, and 5th lowest completion percentage with an average 60.6%. These numbers are great, and look especially good against the Browns’ quarterback Baker Mayfield, who has only put up 7 touchdowns against his 12 interceptions (tied with Jameis Winston for most in the league) and averages a rating of 71.3, the 3rd worst in the league. The Bills aren’t as effective against the run, allowing an average 111.6 yards per game and 4.4 per carry, which is going to be trouble against a strong Browns rushing game. However, I’m still expecting the Bills to win due to their strong defense and effective rushing.
Buffalo Bills Depth Chart
Cleveland Browns Analysis
The Browns are a very talent-heavy team. Baker Mayfield is a number one overall draft pick and is a talented quarterback. Nick Chubb is a hugely effective running back. Jarvis Landry and Odell Beckham Jr. are hugely talented receivers. Despite being full of talented players, the Browns are still 2-6, and drive home the point that a talented roster doesn’t make a good team. Mayfield is tied for the most interceptions on the season, with 12. He averages just below 250 yards per game, and has a total of 1,963 yards on the season. Whether his huge turnover stat and his mediocre yardage stats are because he’s not as good as he was thought to be, or because of coaching, is up for debate. However, it’s pretty widely believed that the Browns struggles this season are a coaching problem, due to the huge amount of talent on their roster. Despite their offensive struggle, the Browns have had one of the most efficient running offenses in the league. They’re 2nd in the league with 5.2 yards per carry, and 13th in yards per game with 121. Their running game is about to get a big boost as well, as Kareem Hunt is likely to play against the Bills. Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt could form an incredibly strong tandem in the backfield, and could prove to be a big problem for the Bills’ mediocre run defense.
I think the Browns’ rush defense is going to be their downfall this game. They allow 141.3 yards per game on the ground. They’re playing against a Devin Singletary that is coming hot off of a big week 9, and I don’t think their rush defense is going to be able to contain him. The Browns passing defense is pretty effective this year, allowing only 216.2 yards per average through the air. They’ll most likely prove a problem for Josh Allen, which is why I’m expecting a run-heavy game on Sunday. I think the Bills have the edge over the Browns, but if they can get their run game going and can force some turnovers from Allen, they definitely have a chance.
Cleveland Browns Depth Chart
Devin Singletary is going to be a great waiver pickup this week. He sits at around 63% ownership, so there’s a relatively high chance he’s available in your league. Whether he’s floating around your waiver wire, or he’s been sitting on your bench, I highly suggest getting him in a starting position for Sunday. He had 20 carries on Sunday, and against a Browns defense that allows 141.3 yards per game on the ground, if he gets a similar amount of carries he’s going to make a huge impact on the game. Kareem Hunt might also be a good pickup this game. He might be floating around on the waiver wire due to his absence, and could get your team some good points if he’s utilized on Sunday. The Bills have a middling run defense this season, and I’m expecting a run-heavy game, so if Hunt is playing (which he likely is) I’m expecting him to get a fair amount of carries.