Buffalo Bills Vs. Los Angeles Chargers NFL Player Props & Picks (12/23/23)

By Jacob Wayne | Dec 22, 2023, 6:05pm

Get Buffalo Bills vs. Los Angeles Chargers player prop picks & odds for the (12/23/23) matchup

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Buffalo Bills vs. Los Angeles Chargers Player Prop Picks

While this Saturday NFL game might not be the tightest in terms of the spread, there are still some intriguing betting opportunities in the player props market. In this article, I’ll break down some of my favorite options for player prop wagers in this game. Be sure to use the player prop search tool above to compare odds from different sportsbooks in your market. Let’s get to work.

Stefon Diggs Over 67.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

If there was ever a bounceback spot for Stefon Diggs in what has been an uncharacteristically quiet run of games, this would be it. The Chargers are ranked 28th in pass defense DVOA, allowing just 175.9 receiving yards per game to wide receivers — seventh-most in the NFL.

Diggs has only been over this number in one of his last five games, but his hit rate is 8 of 14 games for the full season. He only had five targets last week, but that was still a 33.3% share as Josh Allen only attempted 15 passes in the game. Diggs is still very much the first read in this offense, and I’m happy to buy the dip in one of the best matchups possible for perimeter receivers.

Gabe Davis Anytime Touchdown (+270)

Last week marked the third time in four games that Gabriel Davis did not register a single catch. However, he’s still averaging a 92.7% route participation rate and over 35 routes run per game. His involvement in the offense hasn’t gone away despite Allen not looking his way as often, and he won’t be kept off the box score forever.

This is a strong matchup for Davis to get back on track as the Chargers have allowed 1.3 touchdowns per game to wide receivers — the fourth-most in the NFL. The Chargers also run a high rate of single-high defense, which is favorable for Davis as a deep threat – he’ll see more one-on-one opportunities downfield against a defense that has been burned by the deep ball in recent weeks.

Josh Palmer Under 39.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

With Keenan Allen out this week, it’s easy to assume that Josh Palmer will see more targets. That said, this is a brutal matchup for Palmer. He’ll see a lot of coverage from Rasul Douglas, who ranks fifth in PFF’s coverage grades and has allowed a catch rate of just 57.5% with the Bills.

Palmer finished with 113 yards against the Raiders last week, but 79 of those yards came on a broken coverage from Vegas’s defense. The Bills have allowed just 130.1 receiving yards per game to wide receivers — the fifth-fewest in the NFL — so I suspect Palmer’s production will be much more subdued this week.

Stefon Diggs Over 67.5 Receiving Yards
Gabe Davis Anytime Touchdown
Josh Palmer Under 39.5 Receiving Yards
Full SGP Odds: +1093 (varies by sportsbook)

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Jacob Wayne

I've been a huge sports fan for as long as I can remember and I've always loved writing. In 2020, I joined the Lineups team, and I've been producing written and video content on football and basketball ever since. In May 2021, I graduated from the University of Michigan with a degree in sport management. My goal is to tell enthralling stories and provide meaningful insight on the sports I write about while helping you cash some bets along the way.