Chicago Bulls vs. Milwaukee Bucks NBA Player Props & Picks Tonight (12/11/23)

The Chicago Bulls meet the Milwaukee Bucks this Monday (12/11/23). Get Bulls vs. Bucks player prop best bets below, including a search tool to optimize odds shopping.

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Chicago Bulls vs. Milwaukee Bucks Player Prop Picks

Which players will dominate in the Bulls vs. Bucks game?

Same Game Parlay: Coby White 18+ Points & Bucks Moneyline (-120 DK)

Coby White has notched at least 18 points in eight of his last nine games. He’s played five games this season without Zach LaVine, which has resulted in the following:

  • 23 points vs. Oklahoma City
  • 23 points vs. Milwaukee
  • 31 points vs. New Orleans
  • 19 points vs. Charlotte
  • 24 points vs. San Antonio

He will once again be Chicago’s top ball handler and outside threat here because LaVine remains sidelined. White faces a Milwaukee defense that is allowing the third most points per game to point guards and the eighth most above the break three-point attempts per game (via NBA.com). Damian Lillard and Malik Beasley are no match defensively for White, who will bypass them easily or lose them on ball-screens for a pull-up three-pointer. Overall, this bet features the intersection of volume and matchup. 

Meanwhile, Milwaukee sits in an excellent position to win the game – there’s a reason they are favored by nearly 12 points. Chicago’s terrible defense cannot stop Giannis Antetokounmpo or Damian Lillard in the slightest. The Bulls own the worst three-point defense in the NBA, and Milwaukee is 4th in 3PT%. Look for the Bucks to cruise here. 

The same game parlay needs to hit about 54.6 percent of the time for the bet to own a positive expected value, thus making it profitable in the long run. 

Brook Lopez Over 1.5 3PM (-160 DK) 

Chicago is giving up the most open plus wide open three-point attempts per 100 possessions, and they surrender the largest catch-and-shoot three-point frequency. Centers average the second most made threes against them due to Nikola Vucevic’s deficiencies and style. He loves to play a deep drop against the high pick-and-roll in order to protect the paint, which opens up the door for pick-and-pops. Vucevic’s mobility is completely gone at this stage of his career too, so he could barely contest the shot if he tried too. 

Lopez is shooting a 35.3 3PT% on 5.3 attempts per game; however, his volume typically spikes versus Chicago. The veteran has played the Bulls twice this season, and he went 2/6 and 6/10 from deep. 

The line is juiced at -160 odds, so Lopez needs to make two threes about 61.6 percent of the time. Given the matchup though, it’s still a quality play. 

Brook Lopez First Field Goal 3PT (+2000 BMGM)

A Brook Lopez three-point attempt has been the first shot of the game in 6 of 22 games for Milwaukee, or 27.2 percent of the time. As stated above, Chicago’s three-point defense is horrific, especially against centers. Lopez’s volume is extremely encouraging for this prop, and he only needs to hit it about 4.8 percent of the time for the bet to have a positive expected value. 

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Braxton has been covering the NBA for Lineups since the 2021-22 season. He's worked with multiple collegiate coaching staffs about analytics and scouting, which has allowed him to understand the game on a deeper level. Braxton is also a contributor at Thunderous Intentions and NBA Analysis Network.

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