Chicago Bulls vs. Cleveland Cavaliers Player Prop Search Tool
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Chicago Bulls vs. Cleveland Cavaliers Player Prop Picks
Which players will thrive in the Bulls vs. Cavaliers game?
Max Strus Over 2.5 3PM (-125 DK) & First Field Goal Exact 3PT (+1400 BMGM)
The Bulls have arguably the worst three-point defense in the NBA. They surrender the most open plus wide open three-point attempts per 100 possessions, along with the largest catch-and-shoot three-point frequency (via NBA.com). Only the Lakers and Nets allow more made threes per game.
Strus averages the third most catch-and-shoot three-point attempts per game across the league, and his competition for shots is massively reduced with Darius Garland and Evan Mobley sidelined. Alex Caruso’s hounding defense may force Donovan Mitchell to pass more frequently here too, thus boosting Strus’ volume.
In their only matchup this season on December 23rd, Strus took an insane 17 three-point attempts. While that volume is highly unlikely, I expect him to see around 8 to 10 shots from deep here, which should be enough for Strus to knock down three threes.
Based on his odds, Strus must hit the over at least 56 percent of the time for the bet to be profitable in the long run.
Meanwhile, Jarrett Allen is heavily favored to win the tip-off, so Cleveland likely gets the first shot of the game. Given Strus’ projected volume, he owns a ton of first field goal equity here. He only needs to hit the first field goal from three about 7 percent of the time.
Zach LaVine Under 2.5 3PM (-130 FD)
On the other hand, Cleveland gives up the 11th fewest open plus wide open three-point attempts and instead funnels ball handlers to the mid-range. As a result, opponents average the second fewest above the break three-point attempts per game, which is concerning for LaVine considering 81.4 percent of his three-point attempts come from this area.
LaVine also meets Isaac Okoro, who is a stout, sticky defender. Okoro can drive LaVine off the arc and force him to step into a mid-range jumper or a lurking Jarrett Allen.
Finally, rust could be a factor because LaVine has only played five games since returning from over a month long injury.
He must hit the under here at least 57 percent of the time.