The Chicago Bulls (9-16) encounter the Miami Heat (14-10) this Thursday (12/14/23). Get Bulls vs. Heat moneyline and spread odds, as well as predictions, starting lineups, injuries, and key matchups below.
Chicago Bulls vs. Miami Heat Prediction
For this prop to hit, both teams need to combine for two made threes when the game clock strikes 8:59 in the first quarter.
Chicago’s defense is surrendering the second most open plus wide open three-point attempts per 100 possessions (via NBA.com), the fourth most corner attempts, and opponents produce the largest catch-and-shoot three-point frequency against them. Nikola Vucevic’s complete lack of mobility bars him from defending pick-and-pops, and drivers are frequently bypassing their perimeter defense and kicking it out.
Miami’s offense isn’t exactly a three-point heavy unit, but they are shooting the lights out at the moment. They own a team 39 3PT%, which ranks second across the NBA. Duncan Robinson in particular has re-discovered his old form, as he possesses a 43.9 3PT% on seven attempts per game. Kyle Lowry has a 44.1 3PT% on almost five attempts per game, while Jimmy Butler and Orlando Robinson are both over 40% on limited volume. The Heat should see plenty of great looks from deep, and their current efficiency bodes well for this prop.
The Heat have surrendered the 14th most open plus wide open three-point attempts per 100 possessions and the 12th largest catch-and-shoot three-point frequency. The Bulls are 17th in 3PT% too, so it’s a solid but non-ideal matchup on the other end.
Overall, these teams should get the necessary clean looks, so it’s a matter of whether they can knock down shots. At plus odds, it’s worth the risk.
Chicago Bulls vs. Miami Heat Prediction: 2 or more 3PM Made in the First 3 Minutes
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Chicago Bulls vs. Miami Heat Best Odds
The injured Heat are deemed four point favorites by the books and hold a playable -168 moneyline. Chicago must win this game about 40 percent of the time for their +150 moneyline to hold a positive expected value.
Chicago Bulls Starting Lineup
Miami Heat Starting Lineup
Chicago Bulls vs. Miami Heat Injuries
Zach LaVine remains out for Chicago, while Alex Caruso is questionable but leaning towards doubtful. On the other side, Miami will be missing Bam Adebayo, Tyler Herro, Haywood Highsmith, and Josh Richardson.
Chicago Bulls vs. Miami Heat Key Matchups
Coby White 3PT Shooting
At a 43.2 3PT% on 7.3 attempts, Coby White is a walking flamethrower. He averages the 11th most first quarter three-point attempts across the NBA, and Miami is giving up the 5th most made threes per game to point guards. It’s likely that the Heat hit at least one shot from deep (and possibly two), so Coby White contributing a three would be absolutely immense.