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Arizona Cardinals vs. Cleveland Browns Player Prop Picks
The Browns have Deshaun Watson back for a Week 9 matchup with the Cardinals. What does that mean for Cleveland’s offensive weapons? Here’s a closer look at the best player prop bets for Sunday’s matchup.
David Njoku Under 36.5 Receiving Yards (-114, FanDuel)
One one hand, the Cardinals are routinely letting tight ends beat them, allowing just over 60 yards per game to tight ends. On the other hand, there are real concerns with what Njoku’s production will look like with Deshaun Watson back in the fold.
Njoku is averaging 30.6 yards per game in full games played by Watson, compared to 50.3 yards per game with other quarterbacks. Watson’s Bill O’Brien offense in Houston never emphasized the tight end, so it’s possible this adjustment period will take some more time. With the over/under as high as it is and plenty of uncertainty surrounding the health of Watson, I’m taking the under on Njoku.
Kareem Hunt Anytime Touchdown (+135, FanDuel)
The Browns appear to have found their red zone running back, as Kareem Hunt has scored four touchdowns in his last three games as he’s settled back in with Cleveland. The Cardinals have allowed 11 rushing touchdowns this season, the third-highest mark in the NFL. Part of that is a troubling run defense, but the fact teams have built sizable deficits on Arizona and committed to running the ball is also a factor. Both could matter on Sunday.
With Deshaun Watson’s shoulder still a mystery, it won’t surprise anyone to see the Browns lean on the running game a bit. Likewise, because of the Browns’ defense and talent advantage, it’s certainly possible they build an early lead and do everything they can to avoid risky decisions by Watson. Hunt has proven he can find the end zone, and +135 odds are solid enough to give him a look in this one.
Trey McBride Under 42.5 Receiving Yards (-114, FanDuel)
Rookie tight end Trey McBride enjoyed a breakout game in Week 8, receiving 14 targets (10 catches) and coming away with 95 yards and a touchdown. Before that, he only had one game with more than 40 yards. McBride absolutely should become a more prominent part of Arizona’s offense, but whether he can pile up the numbers against the Browns is another story.
Josh Dobbs is gone, traded to Minnesota, and it will instead be rookie Clayton Tune facing a terrific Browns defense. Between a strong secondary and an excellent pass-rush, Cleveland will make life difficult for Tune and the Cardinals’ passing game. While Dobbs clearly became comfortable with McBride, it’s unclear which target Tune will trust the most.
Better days are ahead for McBride with Kyler Murray returning soon and weaker defenses inevitably ahead, but this could be an especially sluggish week for the Cardinals’ offense.
Amari Cooper 70+ Receiving Yards (+154, FanDuel)
Watson’s health is still a bit of a mystery, but it became clear before the injury that he had serious trust in Amari Cooper. Cooper was targeted at least seven times in all three of Watson’s full games, averaging 81 yards with his only sub-90 total coming in his first-ever game with Watson. As the two get more familiar with each other, the yardage should continue to pile up for Cooper.
The Cardinals allow 7.2 yards per pass attempt, tied for 29th in the NFL, so Watson would be best served hitting Cooper early and often if the Browns want to take control in the first half. At +154, it’s worth going beyond the over/under and taking 70 yards for Cooper on Sunday.