Predictions for Pirates vs. Cardinals: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – June 13

Thursday’s contest at Busch Stadium has the St. Louis Cardinals (32-34) matching up with the Pittsburgh Pirates (32-35) at 2:15 PM ET (on June 13). Our computer prediction projects a narrow 5-4 victory for the Cardinals, so expect a competitive matchup.

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Pirates vs. Cardinals Matchup Info

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Pirates vs. Cardinals Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Cardinals 5, Pirates 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs

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Pirates vs. Cardinals Betting Lines

Pirates vs Cardinals Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Pirates -118 -102 8.5 -110 -110

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Pirates Betting Insights

  • Pittsburgh has won 12, or 44.4%, of the 27 contests it has been named as the odds-on favorite in this year.
  • The Pirates have a win-loss record of 9-13 when favored by -118 or better by sportsbooks this year.
  • Contests involving Pittsburgh have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 33 of 67 chances this season.
  • The Pirates went 3-1 over the four games they were favored on the moneyline in their past 15 matchups.
  • Over its past 15 matchups, Pittsburgh and its opponents combined to go over the run total eight times (all 15 games had set totals).

Cardinals Betting Insights

  • St. Louis has a 14-19 record in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 42.4% of those games).
  • In games they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of -102 or longer, the Cardinals have a record of 14-17 (45.2%).
  • St. Louis has combined with opponents to go over the total 27 times this season for a 27-34-4 record against the over/under.
  • The Cardinals have played as underdogs in 10 of their past 15 games and won four of those contests.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, St. Louis and its opponents are 4-10-1 in its past 15 games with a total.

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Pirates vs. Cardinals Probable Pitchers

Pirates’ Starting Pitcher: Mitch Keller

  • The 28-year-old has an ERA of 3.16, a 3.36 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.243 in 13 games this season.
  • Mitch Keller’s team has been victorious in 40% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 2-3.
  • Keller’s team has won nine of his 13 starts this season.
  • Games Keller has started this season hit the over six times in 13 chances.

Cardinals’ Starting Pitcher: Lance Lynn

  • The 37-year-old has an ERA of 3.58, with 8.7 strikeouts per nine innings in 13 games this season. Opponents have a .246 batting average against him.
  • The Cardinals have a 2-4 record in Lynn’s six starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
  • Lynn’s team has a 7-6 record in his starts this season.
  • Lance Lynn has had 12 starts with a set total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in six of those games.

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Pirates’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 32-35
Home 16-17
Road 16-18
One-Run Games 12-10
Scoring 5+ Runs 20-5

Cardinals’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 32-34
Home 16-15
Road 16-19
One-Run Games 9-9
Scoring 5+ Runs 20-6

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