Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Philadelphia 76ers NBA Player Props & Picks (2/23/24)

The Cleveland Cavaliers (36-18) face the Philadelphia 76ers (32-23) this Friday (2/23/24). Get Cavaliers vs. 76ers player prop best bets below, including a search tool to optimize odds shopping.

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Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Philadelphia 76ers Player Prop Picks

Which players will thrive in this Cavaliers vs. 76ers contest?

Paul Reed 1+ Block (-190 FD)

Per Basketball Index, Paul Reed ranks 30th in rim contests per 75 possessions and 48th in block rate on rim contests (min. 500 minutes). Although he is far from an elite defender, Reed gets into position at a decent rate and frequently meets the shooter in the air. Therefore, that gives him a solid amount of chances to notch a block. 

Reed encounters a Cavaliers offense that takes the sixth most restricted area field goal attempts per game. Evan Mobley and Jarrett Allen are both non-shooters, so Reed can camp inside the paint too. Finally, Cleveland allows the 11th most blocks per game to opposing centers. 

Across 21 games this season sans Embiid, Reed has recorded a block in 15 of them, or 71 percent of the time. Based on his -190 odds, he only needs to accomplish this feat here at least 66 percent of the time for the bet to be profitable in the long run. The prop is worth the juice to me. 

Donovan Mitchell First Basket (+470 FD) & Max Strus First Field Goal Exact 3PT (+1850 BMGM)

Jarrett Allen is favored to win the tip-off over Paul Reed, so Cleveland should secure the first shot of the game. 

Since Joel Embiid’s injury, the 76ers have surrendered the fourth most three-point attempts and seventh most open plus wide open three-point attempts per game. Donovan Mitchell and Max Strus pace Cleveland in shots from deep, so they benefit the most from Philadelphia’s porous perimeter defense. 

Meanwhile, Mitchell and Strus rank first and third respectively in Team First FGA%. Not only do they take Cleveland’s first shot at a high rate, but the matchups behooves them here. 

For the bets to have a positive expected value, Mitchell needs to score the first basket (which includes free throws) at least 18 percent of the time, while Strus needs to score the first field goal via three-point at least 5 percent of the time. 

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Braxton has been covering the NBA for Lineups since the 2022 season. He's worked with multiple collegiate coaching staffs regarding analytics and scouting, which has allowed him to understand the game on a deeper level. Braxton is also a contributor at Thunderous Intentions.

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