On Thursday night, we get another edition of a budding rivalry between two teams that have met each other in the Eastern Conference Finals in three of the past four seasons! Find our Boston Celtics vs. Miami Heat player prop picks below, including an analysis of those picks!
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Boston Celtics vs. Miami Heat Player Prop Picks
Our favorite Boston Celtics vs. Miami Heat player prop picks include Jrue Holiday to hit at least three three-pointers at +195 odds and Bam Adebayo to record over 35.5 points, rebounds, and assists at -115 odds.
Jrue Holiday 3+ Threes – Alt (+195)
What do we always say? Volume is the name of the game, especially with three-point props. In this case, we are rolling with Jrue Holiday to hit three or more three-pointers, which should not be much of an issue, given his three-point percentage this season and the recent volume that we have seen from him.
Holiday has shot just shy of 42% from deep this season, which is on pace to be his career high. In the past four seasons, Holiday has shot roughly 40% from deep, which is more than a large enough sample size to label him as a great shooter at the NBA level.
While this season has been sporadic for Holiday as far as volume and scoring output are concerned, he has been relied upon a bit more heavily recently. As a matter of fact, in his past four games, he has attempted 28 three-pointers, averaging out to seven attempts per game. Further, Holiday has pummeled this prop in three of those games (5-for-12, 4-for-6, and 6-for-7.)
The last thing about this prop that is exciting is the matchup. Miami has allowed the fifth-most three-pointers to opposing point guards and fourth-most three-pointers to opposing shooting guards, so whichever position Holiday is deployed at primarily, he will have an advantage. Terry Rozier, Duncan Robinson, Tyler Herro, and Josh Richardson have no chance of stopping Holiday, and we believe he could go berzerk in this spot, especially with Butler and Adebayo locking down the C’s frontcourt.
Bam Adebayo Over 35.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-115)
It is no mystery that Bam Adebayo is the player that makes the Miami Heat’s offense run, even in games when it seems like nothing can go right. Just look at the Heat’s last game against the Memphis Grizzlies: Bam finished with 15 points on 4-for-13 shooting from the field against reigning Defensive Player of the Year, Jaren Jackson Jr.
However, Adebayo still managed to eclipse this number due to a solid rebounding performance and terrific vision in the halfcourt, which allowed him to rack up assists.
Adebayo has hit the Over on this line in eight of his past ten games; he had a bizarre night against the Brooklyn Nets where he had 11 points, 20 rebounds, and four assists, falling just one PRA away from the Over and an overall underwhelming outing against the Toronto Raptors. Besides those two performances, he has been terrific in every facet of the game recently.
Further, Adebayo has a solid history against Boston in the past few outings, hitting the Over in three consecutive regular-season games while averaging 28.3 points and 9.7 rebounds on 50.8% shooting from the floor (21 FGAs per game). If the Heat have any chance of keeping this game close, Bam has to go off.