Celtics vs. Mavericks Prediction & Picks: Line, Spread, Over/Under – NBA Finals Game 1

The Dallas Mavericks are 6.5-point underdogs heading into Game 1 of the NBA Finals against the Boston Celtics at TD Garden on Thursday, starting at 8:30 PM ET on ABC.

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Celtics vs. Mavericks Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Thursday, June 6, 2024
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • How to Watch on TV: ABC
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Location: Boston, Massachusetts
  • Venue: TD Garden

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Celtics vs. Mavericks Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Celtics 120 – Mavericks 109

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Spread & Total Prediction for Celtics vs. Mavericks

  • Pick ATS: Celtics (- 6.5)
  • Computer Predicted Spread: Celtics (-10.9)
  • Pick OU:
    Over (217.5)
  • Computer Predicted Total: 228.5
  • The Celtics (43-39-0 ATS) have covered the spread 52.4% of the time, 6.1% less often than the Mavericks (48-34-0) this year.
  • When the spread is set as 6.5 or more this season, Boston (32-27) covers a higher percentage of those games when it is the favorite (54.2%) than Dallas (2-6) does as the underdog (25%).
  • When it comes to exceeding the total in 2023-24, Dallas and its opponents aren’t as successful (43.9% of the time) as Boston and its opponents (53.7%).
  • As a moneyline favorite this year, the Celtics are 62-16, a better record than the Mavericks have posted (11-18) as moneyline underdogs.

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Celtics Performance Insights

  • The Celtics have been shining on both offense and defense this year, ranking second-best in the NBA in points per game (120.6) and fifth-best in points allowed per game (109.2).
  • Boston is allowing 43.3 rebounds per game this year (14th-ranked in NBA), but it has thrived by averaging 46.3 rebounds per contest (second-best).
  • The Celtics rank 14th in the NBA with 26.9 dimes per game.
  • Boston ranks worst in the NBA with 11.3 forced turnovers per game, but it has helped combat that by ranking best in the league by averaging 11.3 turnovers per contest.
  • The Celtics have been shining when it comes to three-point shooting this year, ranking best in the NBA in threes per game (16.5) and second-best in three-point percentage (38.8%).

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Mavericks Performance Insights

  • On offense the Mavericks are the seventh-ranked team in the league (117.9 points per game). Defensively they are 20th (115.6 points conceded per game).
  • On the glass, Dallas is 21st in the league in rebounds (42.9 per game). It is 25th in rebounds allowed (45.1 per game).
  • This season the Mavericks are ranked 19th in the NBA in assists at 25.7 per game.
  • Dallas commits 12.1 turnovers per game and force 13 per game, ranking seventh and 15th, respectively, in the league.
  • The Mavericks are the third-best team in the league in 3-pointers made (14.6 per game) and 13th in 3-point percentage (36.9%).

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