Celtics vs. Mavericks Prediction & Picks: Line, Spread, Over/Under – NBA Finals Game 5

The Dallas Mavericks are 6.5-point underdogs heading into a decisive Game 5 of the NBA Finals against the Boston Celtics at TD Garden on Monday, starting at 8:30 PM ET on ABC. The Celtics hold a 3-1 lead in the series.

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Celtics vs. Mavericks Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Monday, June 17, 2024
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • How to Watch on TV: ABC
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Location: Boston, Massachusetts
  • Venue: TD Garden

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Celtics vs. Mavericks Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Celtics 119 – Mavericks 108

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Spread & Total Prediction for Celtics vs. Mavericks

  • Pick ATS: Celtics (- 6.5)
  • Computer Predicted Spread: Celtics (-10.6)
  • Pick OU:
    Over (210.5)
  • Computer Predicted Total: 227.5
  • The Celtics (43-39-0 ATS) have covered the spread 52.4% of the time, 6.1% less often than the Mavericks (48-34-0) this year.
  • As a 6.5-point underdog or more in 2023-24, Dallas is 2-6 against the spread compared to the 32-27 ATS record Boston puts up as a 6.5-point favorite.
  • Dallas and its opponents have gone over the point total 43.9% of the time this season (36 out of 82). That’s less often than Boston and its opponents have (44 out of 82).
  • As a moneyline favorite this season, the Celtics are 62-16, a better record than the Mavericks have recorded (11-18) as moneyline underdogs.

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Celtics Performance Insights

  • The Celtics have been thriving on both offense and defense this season, ranking second-best in the NBA in points per game (120.6) and fifth-best in points allowed per game (109.2).
  • Boston is allowing 43.3 boards per game this season (14th-ranked in NBA), but it has shined by grabbing 46.3 rebounds per game (second-best).
  • This season, the Celtics rank 14th in the league in assists, putting up 26.9 per game.
  • Boston ranks best in the NBA with 11.3 turnovers per game. Conversely, it ranks worst in the league with 11.3 forced turnovers per contest.
  • In terms of three-point shooting, everything is clicking for the Celtics, who are making 16.5 threes per game (best in NBA) and shooting 38.8% from three-point land (second-best).

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Mavericks Performance Insights

  • The Mavericks are seventh in the league in points scored (117.9 per game) and 20th in points conceded (115.6).
  • At 42.9 rebounds per game and 45.1 rebounds allowed, Dallas is 21st and 25th in the NBA, respectively.
  • This season the Mavericks are ranked 19th in the NBA in assists at 25.7 per game.
  • Dallas is seventh in the league in turnovers per game (12.1) and 15th in turnovers forced (13).
  • Beyond the arc, the Mavericks are third-best in the league in 3-pointers made per game (14.6). They are 13th in 3-point percentage at 36.9%.

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