Boston Celtics vs. Dallas Mavericks NBA Player Props & Picks (1/22/24)

The Boston Celtics (33-10) face the Dallas Mavericks (24-18) this Monday (1/22/24). Get Celtics vs. Mavericks player prop best bets below, including a search tool to optimize odds shopping.

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Boston Celtics vs. Dallas Mavericks Player Prop Picks

Which players will thrive in this Celtics vs. Mavericks contest?

Al Horford 2+ 3PM (-130 FD) & 3+ 3PM (+270 FD)

Kristaps Porzingis will miss the contest for Boston, so Al Horford steps into a larger role tonight. In nine games this season without Porzingis, Horford has averaged 31 minutes and 5.4 three-point attempts per game. Across those games, he hit at least two three-pointers in seven of nine games, or 77 percent of the time. Additionally, Horford notched at least three three-pointers in six of nine games (66 percent). 

He faces a Dallas defense that surrenders the fifth most made threes per game to opposing centers (per Fantasy Pros). Their weak point-of-attack defense fails to stop drivers, which forces Dereck Lively II to stay within arm’s reach of the paint. He often cannot afford to step out and contest the pick-and-pop because it would grant the ball handler a clear lane to the rim. Given Boston’s numerous effective drivers, look for Horford to acquire open looks via high ball screens in this matchup. He owns a 41.2 three-point percentage, so Horford has the shooting chops to knock down his opportunities too. 

Based on his odds, he must hit two threes at least 56 percent of the time and three threes at least 27 percent of the time for the bets to be profitable in the long run. 

Sam Hauser Over 1.5 3PM (-130 DK)

Porzingis’ absence removes a key player from the rotation, thus boosting Hauser’s minutes too. He averages roughly 20 minutes with Porzingis in the lineup and 25 minutes without him. Across eleven games this season sans Porzingis, Hauser has made at least two threes in eight of them, which is a 72 percent hit rate. 

The Mavericks surrender the fifth most corner three-point attempts per game, which bodes well for Hauser. They also struggle to defend shooters in dribble handoffs because their bigs hesitate to show. Hauser should take advantage of his increased volume and scorch this Mavericks defense from deep. Like Horford, he is also an excellent shooter (40.3 3PT%). 

He must hit the over at least 56 percent of the time given his odds.

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Braxton has been covering the NBA for Lineups since the 2022 season. He's worked with multiple collegiate coaching staffs regarding analytics and scouting, which has allowed him to understand the game on a deeper level. Braxton is also a contributor at Thunderous Intentions.

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