Celtics vs. Pacers Prediction & Picks: Line, Spread, Over/Under – Eastern Conference Finals Game 1

The Indiana Pacers are 9.5-point underdogs heading into Game 1 of the Eastern Conference Finals against the Boston Celtics at TD Garden on Tuesday, starting at 8:00 PM ET on ESPN and ESPN2.

Celtics vs. Pacers Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Tuesday, May 21, 2024
  • Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • How to Watch on TV: ESPN and ESPN2
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Location: Boston, Massachusetts
  • Venue: TD Garden

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Celtics vs. Pacers Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Celtics 123 – Pacers 111

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Spread & Total Prediction for Celtics vs. Pacers

  • Pick ATS: Celtics (- 9.5)
  • Computer Predicted Spread: Celtics (-11.5)
  • Pick OU:
    Over (221.5)
  • Computer Predicted Total: 234.0
  • The Celtics have had less success against the spread than the Pacers this season, tallying an ATS record of 43-39-0, compared to the 44-38-0 mark of the Pacers.
  • When the spread is set as 9.5 or more this season, Boston (20-15) covers a higher percentage of those games when it is the favorite (57.1%) than Indiana (1-2) does as the underdog (33.3%).
  • Indiana and its opponents have combined to exceed the over/under in 53.7% of its games this season (44 of 82), the same percentage as Boston and its opponents (44 of 82).
  • As a moneyline favorite this season, the Celtics are 62-16, while the Pacers are 20-18 as moneyline underdogs.

Celtics Performance Insights

  • The Celtics have been thriving both offensively and defensively this season, ranking second-best in the NBA in points per game (120.6) and fifth-best in points allowed per game (109.2).
  • Boston ranks second-best in the NBA by grabbing 46.3 rebounds per game. In terms of rebounds allowed, it ranks 14th in the league (43.3 allowed per contest).
  • So far this year, the Celtics rank 14th in the league in assists, delivering 26.9 per game.
  • Although Boston is forcing 11.3 turnovers per game (worst in NBA), it ranks best in the league by committing only 11.3 turnovers per contest.
  • The Celtics are playing well when it comes to three-point shooting, as they rank best in the league in treys (16.5 per game) and second-best in shooting percentage from beyond the arc (38.8%).

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Pacers Performance Insights

  • The Pacers are the best squad in the NBA in points scored (123.3 per game) but fourth-worst in points conceded (120.2).
  • In 2023-24, Indiana is third-worst in the league in rebounds (41.5 per game) and 15th in rebounds conceded (43.4).
  • This season the Pacers are best in the league in assists at 30.8 per game.
  • With 12.3 turnovers committed per game and 13.2 turnovers forced, Indiana is 11th and 10th in the NBA, respectively.
  • Beyond the arc, the Pacers are 10th in the league in 3-pointers made per game (13.2). They are ninth in 3-point percentage at 37.4%.
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