Boston Celtics vs. Indiana Pacers NBA Player Props & Picks Tonight (12/4/23)

The Boston Celtics face the Indiana Pacers this Monday (12/4/23). Get Celtics vs. Pacers player prop best bets below, including a search tool to optimize odds shopping.

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Boston Celtics vs. Indiana Pacers Player Prop Picks

Which players will thrive in the Celtics vs. Pacers In-Season Tournament matchup?

Jaylen Brown 6+ Rebounds (-115 FD) & 8+ Rebounds (+260 DK)

Indiana leads the NBA in pace, and more possessions equals more opportunities to hit the over on player props. The Pacers are surrendering the fourth most rebounds per game to small forwards, and they rank 24th in net offensive rebound rate. Therefore, Jaylen Brown is primed to have a productive night on the glass. 

In their previous matchup in early November, Brown notched seven rebounds in only 25 minutes. Overall, he has cleared six rebounds in his last four matchups versus Indiana. 

Center Kristaps Porzingis remains out tonight, which bodes well for Brown. Since Porzingis’ injury, Brown has snagged seven, eight, and four rebounds. 

In summation, the Pacers are an excellent rebounding matchup for Brown, who will not be held back by Porzingis’ presence. Based on his odds, he needs to grab six rebounds roughly 53.5 percent of the time for the bet to have a positive expected value. For eight rebounds, he needs to accomplish this feat about 27.8 percent of the time. 

SGP: Jayson Tatum 4+ Assists & Jrue Holiday 1+ 3PM (-147 FD)

The Pacers rank 29th in Defensive Rating and play at the fastest pace, so opposing playmakers typically rack up assists with ease. Jayson Tatum’s improved passing has him in position to exploit Indiana’s horrific defense. He has hit four assists in nine of his last eleven games, as well as in eight of his last eleven matchups versus Indiana. 

Meanwhile, Jrue Holiday has made a three-pointer in 15 of 17 games this year, including three of them against Indiana earlier this season. With Boston applying tremendous interior pressure, there will be plenty of kick-outs for open threes – the Celtics lead the NBA in three-point attempt rate. 

This same game parlay must hit roughly 59.6 percent of the time given the odds. 

Tyrese Haliburton Over 3.5 3PM (-132 FD)

The emerging superstar is shooting an astonishing 44.7 3PT% on nearly nine attempts per game. Over his past five games, Haliburton has averaged 5.6 made threes per game. 

He faces a Boston defense that has given up the second most made threes per game to opposing points guards. They are also allowing the fifth most open plus wide open three-point attempts per 100 possessions (via NBA.com), so their three-point defense is vulnerable. Given Haliburton’s otherworldly efficiency and his projected volume, look for him to reach four threes here. He needs to do so roughly 57 percent of the time. 

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Braxton has been covering the NBA for Lineups since the 2022 season. He's worked with multiple collegiate coaching staffs regarding analytics and scouting, which has allowed him to understand the game on a deeper level. Braxton is also a contributor at Thunderous Intentions.

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