Boston Celtics vs. Oklahoma City Thunder NBA Player Props & Picks Tonight (1/2/24)

The Boston Celtics (26-6) battle the Oklahoma City Thunder (22-9) this Tuesday (1/2/24). Get Celtics vs. Thunder player prop best bets below, including a search tool to optimize odds shopping.

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Which players will dominate in the Celtics vs. Thunder game?

Chet Holmgren Over 1.5 3PM (-130 DK) & 3+ 3PM (+230 FD)

The Celtics are surrendering the third most open plus wide open three-point attempts per 100 possessions, as well as the most above the break attempts (via NBA.com). That bodes well for Chet Holmgren considering 88 percent of his three-point attempts come from above the break. He also owns a 40.9 three-point percentage in this area, so the Rookie of the Year frontrunner has the shooting chops to knock down his looks. 

Celtics center Kristaps Porzingis mostly plays drop coverage on the high ball screen, which leaves the pick-and-pop available to stretch fives. Opposing centers subsequently average the seventh most made threes per game against them. 

Holmgren has notched two threes in five of his last seven games, so he enters this matchup with momentum. He has also hit three threes in three of his last four games, which makes this +230 line an excellent bet. 

For the bets to be profitable in the long run, Holmgren needs to make two three-pointers about 56 percent of the time and three around 30 percent of the time. 

SGP: Chet Holmgren 1+ 3PM & Under 2.5 Blocks (-135 DK)

Holmgren has failed to reach three blocks in 17 of 31 games (54.8%), and it’s a poor matchup for him. Boston leads the league in three-point attempt rate, and they take the fifth fewest field goal attempts from within eight feet of the basket. Kristaps Porzingis’ desire to shoot from outside also limits block chances, and it’s difficult to block his 7’3” frame when he does attack the basket. Due to these factors, opposing centers average only 1.71 blocks per game against Boston, which is the fourth lowest mark. 

Holmgren has played six games against teams that rank in the top five of fewest field goal attempts within eight feet of the basket allowed. He recorded under 2.5 blocks in four of those six games, which is a 66 percent under rate. 

Meanwhile, he has notched a three-pointer in 25 of 31 games, or 80 percent of the time. It would be surprising if he fails to hit a three-pointer given his volume, efficiency and matchup. 

This same game parlay needs to theoretically cash about 57 percent of the time for the bet to be profitable in the long run. 

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Braxton has been covering the NBA for Lineups since the 2022 season. He's worked with multiple collegiate coaching staffs regarding analytics and scouting, which has allowed him to understand the game on a deeper level. Braxton is also a contributor at Thunderous Intentions.

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