Boston Celtics vs. Golden State Warriors NBA Player Props & Picks Tonight (12/19/23)

The Boston Celtics battle the Golden State Warriors this Tuesday (12/19/23). Get Celtics vs. Warriors player prop best bets below, including a search tool to optimize odds shopping.

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Boston Celtics vs. Golden State Warriors Player Prop Picks

Which players will dominate in the Celtics vs. Warriors game?

Steph Curry Over 4.5 3PM (-138 FD)

Curry is shooting a 41.1 3PT% on nearly 12 attempts per game from deep, so he clearly hasn’t lost a step yet in terms of his outside shooting prowess. He faces a Boston defense that is allowing the second most made threes to point guards and the third most open plus wide open three-point attempts per 100 possessions, so Curry should see relatively clean looks here. 

Opponents also produce the most above the break three-point attempts and the largest off-the-dribble three-point frequency against Boston. These two areas form the foundation of Curry’s shot diet, so he’s especially in a position to wreak havoc.  

Finally, the rest of the offense has been close to miserable. Curry understands that it will take a monster scoring night from him to upset the dominant Celtics (20-5), which means more shot attempts. 

He has hit five threes in 14 of 24 games this season, or 58.3 percent. In addition, although the roster is different, it’s worth noting that Curry has hit five threes in 7 of his last 9 games versus Boston. Based on his odds, Curry must achieve this feat about 58 percent of the time for the bet to be profitable in the long run. 

Kristaps Porzingis First Basket (+550 FD)

Porzingis is heavily favored to win the tip-off. He has taken Boston’s first field goal attempt in 5 of 19 starts, or 26.3 percent of the time. This Team First FGA% ranks second on the Celtics behind only Jrue Holiday.  

He meets a Golden State defense that is allowing the 7th most points per game to centers. They are also 25th defending post ups per ShotQuality and giving up the 9th most above the break three-point attempts, which is where Porzingis loves to operate. 

In his last four matchups against the Warriors, Porzingis has averaged 28.5 points on a 52.3 field goal percentage. He maintains a significant size advantage over Kevon Looney, so Porzingis can get his shot off with ease. 

Overall, the off-season acquisition is set for a big night. He needs to score the first basket (which includes free throws) about 15 percent of the time.

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Braxton has been covering the NBA for Lineups since the 2021-22 season. He's worked with multiple collegiate coaching staffs about analytics and scouting, which has allowed him to understand the game on a deeper level. Braxton is also a contributor at Thunderous Intentions and NBA Analysis Network.

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