Los Angeles Chargers vs. New York Jets NFL Player Props & Picks (11/6/23)
Get Chargers vs. Jets player prop picks & odds for the (11/6/23) Monday Night Football matchup.
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Los Angeles Chargers vs. New York Jets Player Prop Picks
The Chargers and Jets meet in what could be a highly consequential battle on Monday night. Both teams are hoping to emerge as prime wild card contenders, but one is led by offense while the other is led by its defense. Let’s take a look at some of the best player prop bets from Monday’s clash.
Zach Wilson Under 214.5 Passing Yards (-114, FanDuel)
The over/under is slightly inflated because of the Chargers’ defensive issues, but Los Angeles’ defense has taken a meaningful step forward in recent weeks. Even more importantly, their pass-rush duo might make life too difficult for Zach Wilson for 215+ yards to be a reality. The Jets’ offensive line is badly depleted, and while some help is on the way, it’s unclear who of Duane Brown, Joe Tippmann, and Laken Tomlinson will be available to play (or will be close to 100 percent) in time for this game.
Wilson was a victim of constant pressure against the Giants, and as long as his line is as makeshift as it is right now, that might continue to be the case. Wilson has thrown for more than 200 yards in just two of seven games this season, and the Jets know they can win this one without the former No. 2 pick having to do it all with his arm.
Austin Ekeler Over 42.5 Rushing Yards (-114, FanDuel)
Austin Ekeler has been largely inefficient since over his last three games post-injury, but the Chargers are giving him opportunities. He’s received at least 14 carries in each game, and he’s established enough that Los Angeles isn’t going to move away from him just yet. The Jets’ run defense is allowing 4.3 yards per carry, a slightly below average mark for an otherwise stellar defense. If Ekeler receives 14 carries, he will need to average only 3.1 yards per carry to get to 43 yards.
The Jets simply play close games just about every week, and considering New York’s offensive line troubles hamstringing an already shaky offense, this is very unlikely to be a situation that requires Justin Herbert to pass the Chargers back into the game. We should see a healthy dose of the Chargers’ running game rather than Herbert constantly testing a loaded Jets secondary, and that should produce enough chances for Ekeler to rack up some yards.
Keenan Allen Anytime Touchdown (+135, FanDuel)
Keenan Allen has four touchdowns through seven games this season, and Herbert is running out of targets to soak up these end zone opportunities. Josh Palmer is out this week, Mike Williams is done for the season, and Gerald Everett is facing a defense that has only allowed one touchdown by a tight end this season.
If the Chargers’ passing game finds the end zone, Allen is a safe bet to be the one who scores. Allen is averaging more than 10 targets per game this season, he’s been able to stay healthy, and his catch rate is well above 70 percent since the start of last season.
Garrett Wilson 80+ Receiving Yards Receiving Yards
If Garrett Wilson could put up 100 yards in such a horrible passing environment against the Giants, he can get to 80 against a Chargers secondary that had some ugly moments this season. While the unit has been a bit better of late, Wilson is talented enough to take full advantage.
Zach Wilson has proven that he trusts Garrett Wilson in pivotal late-game moments, and double-digit targets in three of his last four games are a sign that the trust extends to the rest of the game as well. While a depleted offensive line won’t make this an easy night for the Jets’ passing game, it’s those uncomfortable moments for Zach Wilson that Garrett Wilson thrives.
He should have no problems getting open against the Chargers’ defense, which has let Justin Jefferson, CeeDee Lamb, Travis Kelce and Tyreek Hill all go for 110+ yards this season. Wilson is much closer to that category than some believe. At plus odds, 80 yards is a better value than the over/under of 68.5.
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