Los Angeles Chargers vs. Las Vegas Raiders NFL First Touchdown: Expert Picks & Predictions (12/14/23)

The Los Angeles Chargers face the Las Vegas Raiders in Thursday Night Football (12/14/23). Get Chargers vs. Raiders First Touchdown best bets, as well as a player prop search tool to optimize odds shopping for Thursday night’s game.

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Los Angeles Chargers vs. Las Vegas Raiders First Touchdown Picks

The goal of the First Touchdown prop is to identify which player will score the first touchdown of the game. Who will score the first touchdown in the Chargers vs. Raiders game?

Jakobi Meyers First Touchdown (+1300 BMGM) and Davante Adams First Touchdown (+700 FD)

With Justin Herbert, Keenan Allen, Mike Williams, and Donald Parham Jr out, Los Angeles’ once intimidating offense has been reduced to rubble. Therefore, Las Vegas currently holds the edge in terms of scoring the first touchdown. 

Meyers and Adams have combined for 32 of Las Vegas’ 52 red zone targets, or 61.5 percent. They also own 51.8 percent of Las Vegas’ total targets and 57.8 percent of their total touchdowns. In other words, it’s likely that Meyers or Adams will score first with the only significant threat being Josh Jacobs, who is questionable due to a quad injury. 

The duo can exploit an ineffective Chargers secondary that ranks 26th in opponent net yards gained per pass attempt, 23rd in opponent passing touchdowns per game, and 22nd in opponent dropback expected points added (EPA) per play. Los Angeles’ run defense isn’t exactly sturdy (in fact far from it), but Las Vegas will find it a touch easier to navigate through the air. 

For the bets to be profitable in the long run, Meyers needs to score the first touchdown about seven percent of the time, while Adams sits at twelve percent of the time. 

Austin Ekeler First Chargers Touchdown (+300 FD)

At this point, Austin Ekeler feels like the last man on Earth wondering where everyone went. He’s clearly the main threat in this diminished Chargers offense and should receive a ton of volume here, especially if Los Angeles doesn’t quite trust backup quarterback Easton Stick to throw in the red zone. 

Ekeler meets a Raiders defense that ranks 25th in opponent rush yards per game and 19th in opponent rushing touchdowns per game. Meanwhile, Las Vegas is 8th in opponent passing touchdowns per game. Look for Los Angeles to bring a run-heavy approach to this game and feature Ekeler, who has six touchdowns in ten games. 

He needs to score Los Angeles’ first touchdown about 25 percent of the time.

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Braxton has been covering the NBA for Lineups since the 2022 season. He's worked with multiple collegiate coaching staffs regarding analytics and scouting, which has allowed him to understand the game on a deeper level. Braxton is also a contributor at Thunderous Intentions.

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