Los Angeles Chargers vs. Las Vegas Raiders Same Game Parlay (12/14/23): Expert Picks & Predictions For TNF

Get Los Angeles Chargers vs. Las Vegas Raiders same game parlay picks & odds for the (12/14/23) matchup.

Los Angeles Chargers vs. Las Vegas Raiders Same Game Parlay Picks

Los Angeles Chargers vs. Las Vegas Raiders kicks off this Thursday at 8:15pm EST in Las Vegas Nevada as a home game for the Raiders. The Chargers are currently a +3 underdog and +138 on the moneyline while the total is set at 34. Expect the Raiders to take advantage of a hobbled Chargers squad in a low scoring affair while Aidan O’Connell and Austin Ekeler are expected to carry a brunt of the load, all giving value for a same game parlay in this Los Angeles Chargers vs. Las Vegas Raiders matchup.

Leg 1: Las Vegas Raiders Moneyline

The Raiders come into this one in a prime bounce back spot after playing in the ugliest game of the year last week against the Minnesota Vikings. That game featured zero red zone snaps and the Raiders ended up losing 0-3. Granted that game spoke more volume about the legitimacy of the Vikings defense rather than what we already know about the Raiders.

Las Vegas now turns their sights towards a reeling Chargers squad who just announced that Justin Herbert is getting season ending surgery. A massive blow for their offense as the pass attack was the only consistent factor that they had going for them. Without Herbert, the Raiders can now sell out in an effort to stop the run and cover their own weaknesses in their rush defense metrics.

With the Chargers offense most likely sputtering, that gives the Raiders a chance to pull away as they pick apart a shockingly bad LA defense. The Chargers rank well below average in both Def Pass DVOA and Rush DVOA, as well as dealing with injuries which have made them even more prone to getting beat downfield. Expect Aidan O’Connell to thrive in Pass Success Rate and sustain drives down the field into scoring position.

Leg 2: Los Angeles Chargers Team Total Under 15.5

Having the ability to stack the box to mask their poor rush defense metrics will do wonders for the Raiders defense as their back end has steadily improved in coverage as well. The Raiders went from near dead last in coverage metrics to now residing around league average in both Def Pass Success Rate and Def Pass EPA. The issue is that their front seven has yet to follow suit and rank 20th or worse in Def Rush DVOA, Success Rate, and EPA.

By being able to stack the box, that helps negate the run and dares backup quarterback Easton Stick to throw over the top of them. He didn’t exactly wow in his first stint, throwing for 179 yards on 24 attempts at a completion percentage of 54%. The lack of downfield throwing will hold their offense back, most likely resulting in stalled out drives and early outs for a majority of the contest.

Leg 3: Aidan O’Connell Over 205 Passing Yards

After being held to a relatively underwhelming 171 yards and one interception against the Vikings impressive defense, Aidan O’Connell now gets the opportunity to shred a weak Chargers secondary. This has been a troublesome area for the Chargers defense for a majority of the year as they rank near dead last in Def Pass DVOA and well below average in Def Pass Success Rate and EPA.

The Raiders pass attack doesn’t exactly scream impressive numbers either, yet Aidan O’Connell is well equipped to shred them with a group of pass catchers that features Davante Adams, Jakobi Meyers and Hunter Renfrow. Especially if the Chargers continue to blitz with a low success rate, leaving them exposed across the middle and giving the Raiders pass catchers a chance to rack up massive yards after the catch.

Leg 4: Austin Ekeler Over 24.5 Receiving Yards

Just because Ekeler may once again struggle to get it going on the ground doesn’t mean that he won’t be a factor in another way in this contest. Two ways to burn a stacked box is to either beat them deep outside the numbers, or more realistically in the Chargers case, hitting Ekeler in screens and dump offs and getting him to the outside. Expect plenty of dump offs and conservative play calls in Ekeler’s favor as he is in a good position to clear this mark.

Same Game Parlay Card For Los Angeles Chargers vs. Las Vegas Raiders

  • Las Vegas Raiders Moneyline
  • Los Angeles Chargers Team Total Under 15.5
  • Aidan O’Connell Over 205 Passing Yards
  • Austin Ekeler Over 24.5 Receiving Yards

Full SGP Odds: +673 ($10 wins $67.30)

Best NFL Betting Promo Codes

Kody is a sports betting writer here at Lineups. He specializes in college sports as well as the NFL and NBA. He won’t quit believing in the Lions Super Bowl chances even when they are eliminated.

Hot NFL Stories